BMNR @ $16.92

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-72.4%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $699,128 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.41 · $5,868 this cycle

6.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$22,005

Annualized

97%

EV / cycle

+$5,517

If assigned

-$699,128

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($10,173 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $18.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	15d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.28	79%	51%
Up And Out	$18.08	15d	+$0.17	$0.10 to $0.26	81%	54%
Ss Escape	$20.58	43d	+$0.07	$-0.07 to $0.15	95%	91%
Safety Up	$21.08	43d	-$0.03	$-0.19 to $0.03	96%	94%
Reliable Up	$20.08	43d	+$0.20	$0.07 to $0.29	93%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $638,981 (premium included).

Called-away odds0%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.10 · $815 this cycle

30.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

99+%

Income / mo

$3,056

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$815

If assigned

-$638,981

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($12,433 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$22.00	15d	-$0.06	-	79%	51%
Ss Escape	$23.08	43d	+$0.08	-	87%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $704,507 (premium included).

Called-away odds26%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.55 · $8,639 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

74%

Income / mo

$32,396

Annualized

143%

EV / cycle

+$7,274

If assigned

-$704,507

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($9,890 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $17.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.50	15d	+$0.21	$0.10 to $0.22	79%	51%
Up And Out	$17.58	15d	+$0.19	$0.09 to $0.20	81%	54%
Ss Escape	$20.58	43d	+$0.01	$-0.19 to $-0.03	96%	94%
Reliable Up	$19.58	43d	+$0.24	$0.06 to $0.22	93%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $672,436 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $1.00 / mid $1.05 · $16,259 this cycle

12.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$11,344

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$14,706

If assigned

-$672,436

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $633,276 (premium included).

Called-away odds1%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.47 · $6,520 this cycle

30.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

99%

Income / mo

$5,433

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$6,509

If assigned

-$633,276

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.76/share ($28,740 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$22.00	43d	-$0.69	-	79%	51%
Ss Escape	$20.58	43d	+$0.29	-	69%	14%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $694,727 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.13 / mid $1.40 · $18,419 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$15,349

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$12,595

If assigned

-$694,727

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.40/share ($22,861 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $17.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.50	43d	-$0.15	$-0.39 to $-0.27	80%	52%
Ss Escape	$17.08	43d	+$0.08	$-0.20 to $-0.05	76%	41%
Safety Up	$19.08	43d	-$0.86	$-1.05 to $-0.92	91%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-30 19:16 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.