BMNR @ $17.11

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-72.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $20 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $677,449 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $20 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.22 · $3,097 this cycle

13.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$11,614

Annualized

51%

EV / cycle

+$1,378

If assigned

-$677,449

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($11,953 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $19.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.50	15d	+$0.27	$0.20 to $0.38	67%	53%
Up And Out	$19.89	15d	+$0.11	$0.01 to $0.21	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$21.39	36d	+$0.10	$-0.09 to $0.22	75%	70%
Safety Up	$21.89	29d	-$0.10	$-0.30 to $-0.00	79%	75%
Reliable Up	$20.89	36d	+$0.26	$0.08 to $0.38	73%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $654,955 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.10 · $1,141 this cycle

22.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$4,279

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$583

If assigned

-$654,955

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.79/share ($12,873 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $21.52.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	15d	+$0.24	$0.21 to $0.46	67%	53%
Up And Out	$21.39	15d	+$0.08	$0.02 to $0.27	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$22.89	36d	+$0.08	$-0.06 to $0.31	75%	69%
Safety Up	$23.39	36d	-$0.04	$-0.20 to $0.18	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $697,009 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.52 · $7,987 this cycle

5.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$29,951

Annualized

131%

EV / cycle

+$2,246

If assigned

-$697,009

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($11,034 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $18.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	15d	+$0.29	$0.17 to $0.28	67%	53%
Up And Out	$18.39	15d	+$0.13	$-0.02 to $0.09	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$19.89	36d	+$0.12	$-0.19 to $0.05	75%	70%
Safety Up	$22.89	29d	-$0.47	$-0.88 to $-0.58	89%	89%
Reliable Up	$19.39	36d	+$0.27	$-0.01 to $0.20	73%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $634,580 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.64 · $5,216 this cycle

28.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$4,347

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$629

If assigned

-$634,580

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.03/share ($33,019 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $22.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$22.00	43d	-$1.66	$-2.19 to $-1.41	57%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $23 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $619,910 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $23 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.39 · $3,586 this cycle

34.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,988

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$242

If assigned

-$619,910

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.12/share ($34,520 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $23.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$23.00	43d	-$1.74	$-2.21 to $-1.35	57%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $675,004 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.84 / mid $1.15 · $13,692 this cycle

11.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$11,410

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$1,116

If assigned

-$675,004

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.75/share ($28,516 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $19.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	43d	-$1.40	$-2.16 to $-1.67	58%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-30 21:42 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.