BMNR @ $17.10

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-72.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $685,436 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $19 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.21 · $3,260 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$13,971

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$1,545

If assigned

-$685,436

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($9,879 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $19.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$19.00	14d	+$0.33	$0.27 to $0.40	67%	52%
Up And Out	$19.40	14d	+$0.16	$0.07 to $0.22	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$21.90	35d	+$0.02	$-0.21 to $0.06	80%	77%
Safety Up	$23.40	42d	-$0.08	$-0.34 to $-0.05	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$21.40	35d	+$0.17	$-0.03 to $0.22	78%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $21 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $655,118 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $21 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $978 this cycle

22.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$4,191

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$702

If assigned

-$655,118

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($10,919 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $21.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$21.00	14d	+$0.30	$0.33 to $0.48	67%	52%
Up And Out	$21.40	14d	+$0.13	$0.12 to $0.30	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$23.90	42d	+$0.16	$0.06 to $0.36	79%	75%
Safety Up	$24.90	42d	-$0.02	$-0.14 to $0.17	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$23.40	35d	+$0.15	$0.07 to $0.35	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $698,476 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.42 · $6,520 this cycle

5.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$27,943

Annualized

122%

EV / cycle

+$2,029

If assigned

-$698,476

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($9,359 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $18.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	14d	+$0.34	$0.25 to $0.34	68%	53%
Up And Out	$18.40	14d	+$0.17	$0.05 to $0.15	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$21.90	42d	+$0.00	$-0.29 to $-0.07	84%	81%
Safety Up	$22.90	28d	-$0.32	$-0.65 to $-0.41	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$19.90	35d	+$0.31	$0.09 to $0.26	77%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $633,439 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $22 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.48 · $6,357 this cycle

28.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$5,449

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$2,645

If assigned

-$633,439

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.16/share ($35,179 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $22.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$22.00	42d	-$0.80	$-1.15 to $-0.60	67%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $23 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $619,584 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $23 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.61 · $3,912 this cycle

34.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$2,794

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,087

If assigned

-$619,584

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $678,916 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $18 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.10 / mid $1.48 · $17,930 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$15,369

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$4,243

If assigned

-$678,916

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.81/share ($29,582 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $18.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.50	42d	-$0.54	$-0.99 to $-0.76	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$17.40	42d	+$0.02	$-0.39 to $-0.16	62%	41%
Safety Up	$19.90	42d	-$1.04	$-1.56 to $-1.30	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-31 21:48 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.