BMNR @ $17.14

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares16,300
Blended cost$61.25
Drawdown-72.0%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable163
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $19 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $685,436 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $19 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.21 · $3,260 this cycle
10.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$16,300
Annualized
71%
EV / cycle
+$1,997
If assigned
-$685,436
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($9,819 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $19.47.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$19.0013d+$0.40$0.34 to $0.4668%53%
Up And Out$19.8613d+$0.04$-0.09 to $0.0775%66%
Ss Escape$21.8627d+$0.02$-0.20 to $0.0583%79%
Safety Up$23.8641d-$0.16$-0.46 to $-0.1487%85%
Reliable Up$21.3641d+$0.20$-0.03 to $0.2578%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $647,294 (premium included).
Called-away odds3%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $22 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $652 this cycle
25.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
97%
Income / mo
$3,260
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$551
If assigned
-$647,294
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($11,111 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $21.95.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.5013d+$0.37$0.43 to $0.5468%52%
Up And Out$22.3613d+$0.00$-0.01 to $0.1674%65%
Ss Escape$24.3634d+$0.05$-0.00 to $0.2581%77%
Safety Up$24.3627d-$0.00$-0.07 to $0.1982%78%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $698,313 (premium included).
Called-away odds32%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $18 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.41 · $6,683 this cycle
5.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
68%
Income / mo
$33,415
Annualized
146%
EV / cycle
+$2,744
If assigned
-$698,313
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($9,302 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $18.45.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.0013d+$0.41$0.32 to $0.4168%53%
Up And Out$18.8613d+$0.05$-0.12 to $0.0175%66%
Ss Escape$20.8627d+$0.03$-0.25 to $-0.0383%79%
Safety Up$22.8627d-$0.27$-0.62 to $-0.3590%89%
Reliable Up$19.8634d+$0.38$0.16 to $0.3478%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $22 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $640,285 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $22 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.59 · $7,661 this cycle
25.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$5,606
Annualized
24%
EV / cycle
+$2,737
If assigned
-$640,285
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $24 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $602,795 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $24 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.30 · $4,401 this cycle
40.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$3,883
Annualized
17%
EV / cycle
+$2,907
If assigned
-$602,795
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.83/share ($29,752 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $24.59.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$24.0041d-$0.34$-0.43 to $0.0067%53%
Ss Escape$22.8641d+$0.30$0.29 to $0.7463%42%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $18 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $678,264 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $18 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.14 / mid $1.21 · $18,582 this cycle
8.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$16,396
Annualized
71%
EV / cycle
+$5,743
If assigned
-$678,264
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.41/share ($22,934 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $18.95.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.5041d-$0.03$-0.22 to $-0.1168%54%
Ss Escape$18.3641d+$0.04$-0.15 to $-0.0467%52%
Safety Up$22.3641d-$1.11$-1.57 to $-1.3287%86%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-01 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.