BMNR @ $23.58

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares16,300
Blended cost$61.25
Drawdown-61.5%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable163
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $26 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $562,208 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $26 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.28 · $4,238 this cycle
12.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$15,893
Annualized
50%
EV / cycle
+$2,168
If assigned
-$562,208
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.92/share ($14,989 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $27.06.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$26.5015d+$0.35$0.27 to $0.4967%52%
Up And Out$26.9215d+$0.16$0.04 to $0.2870%58%
Ss Escape$30.9243d+$0.01$-0.28 to $0.1382%78%
Safety Up$32.9243d-$0.19$-0.51 to $-0.1087%85%
Reliable Up$29.9243d+$0.22$-0.05 to $0.3579%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $29 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $524,392 (premium included).
Called-away odds6%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $29 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.10 · $1,304 this cycle
23.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
94%
Income / mo
$4,890
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$823
If assigned
-$524,392
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.01/share ($16,403 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $29.65.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$29.0015d+$0.30$0.30 to $0.5867%52%
Up And Out$29.4215d+$0.11$0.08 to $0.3770%57%
Ss Escape$32.9243d+$0.08$-0.10 to $0.3980%75%
Safety Up$33.4243d-$0.03$-0.22 to $0.2881%78%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $24 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $587,962 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $24 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.68 / mid $0.73 · $11,084 this cycle
3.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$41,565
Annualized
132%
EV / cycle
+$3,326
If assigned
-$587,962
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.85/share ($13,858 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $25.06.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$24.5015d+$0.38$0.23 to $0.3468%52%
Up And Out$25.4215d+$0.01$-0.23 to $-0.0773%64%
Ss Escape$28.9243d+$0.03$-0.40 to $-0.1082%79%
Safety Up$32.9243d-$0.45$-1.00 to $-0.6290%89%
Reliable Up$26.9243d+$0.55$0.20 to $0.4476%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $30 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $497,171 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $30 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.75 / mid $0.82 · $12,225 this cycle
27.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$8,529
Annualized
27%
EV / cycle
+$6,651
If assigned
-$497,171
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $32 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $470,113 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $32 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.44 · $6,683 this cycle
35.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$5,569
Annualized
18%
EV / cycle
+$4,688
If assigned
-$470,113
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.53/share ($41,168 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $32.76.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$32.0043d-$0.67$-0.89 to $-0.2666%53%
Ss Escape$30.4243d+$0.12$-0.03 to $0.6461%41%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $26 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $552,265 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 163 × $26 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.37 / mid $1.44 · $22,331 this cycle
10.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$18,609
Annualized
59%
EV / cycle
+$6,163
If assigned
-$552,265
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.05/share ($33,449 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $26.62.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$26.0043d-$0.30$-0.64 to $-0.4267%54%
Ss Escape$24.9243d+$0.23$-0.08 to $0.1563%45%
Safety Up$29.4243d-$1.32$-1.83 to $-1.5381%77%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-17 21:52 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.