BMNR @ $28.39

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

All accounts collated · U6241782 $62.98 (8,800 sh) · U10001299 $59.23 (7,500 sh)

Accounts2 accounts

Shares16,300

Blended cost$61.25

Drawdown-53.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable163

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $61.25 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $32 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $471,091 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $32 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.39 · $5,705 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$19,017

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$2,627

If assigned

-$471,091

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.09/share ($17,701 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $32.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$32.00	16d	+$0.44	$0.33 to $0.56	66%	53%
Up And Out	$33.11	16d	+$0.02	$-0.16 to $0.09	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$36.61	37d	+$0.12	$-0.19 to $0.21	81%	76%
Safety Up	$38.61	37d	-$0.26	$-0.62 to $-0.18	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$35.61	37d	+$0.25	$-0.04 to $0.35	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $409,966 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $36 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $1,630 this cycle

26.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$5,433

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,085

If assigned

-$409,966

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.22/share ($19,914 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $36.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.00	16d	+$0.36	$0.43 to $0.72	66%	52%
Up And Out	$36.61	16d	+$0.11	$0.14 to $0.46	69%	58%
Ss Escape	$40.61	37d	+$0.06	$0.04 to $0.49	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $30 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $503,691 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $30 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.85 / mid $0.90 · $13,855 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$46,183

Annualized

121%

EV / cycle

+$3,248

If assigned

-$503,691

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.00/share ($16,318 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $30.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$29.50	16d	+$0.47	$0.31 to $0.44	67%	53%
Up And Out	$30.61	16d	+$0.05	$-0.18 to $-0.03	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$34.11	37d	+$0.13	$-0.29 to $-0.01	81%	77%
Safety Up	$38.11	30d	-$0.70	$-1.30 to $-0.90	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$32.11	37d	+$0.63	$0.29 to $0.52	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $35 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $413,552 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $35 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.88 / mid $0.98 · $14,344 this cycle

23.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$11,630

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$7,169

If assigned

-$413,552

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $357,480 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $39 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.41 · $5,216 this cycle

37.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$5,216

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$3,002

If assigned

-$357,480

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.67/share ($43,510 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $39.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	37d	-$0.41	$-0.53 to $0.09	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$38.11	37d	+$0.02	$-0.03 to $0.57	64%	47%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $31 is BELOW your $61.25 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $469,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 163 × $31 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.42 / mid $1.60 · $23,146 this cycle

9.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$23,146

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$5,899

If assigned

-$469,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.12/share ($34,585 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $31.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$31.00	37d	-$0.00	$-0.30 to $-0.10	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$30.61	37d	+$0.20	$-0.07 to $0.12	66%	51%
Safety Up	$35.61	37d	-$1.34	$-1.88 to $-1.55	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-23 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.