If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($12,310 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $26.99.
| Door | New strike | Tenor | Est credit/sh | P25-P75 | POP | Survival |
|---|
| Credit Out | $26.50 | 15d | +$0.27 | $0.21 to $0.39 | 67% | 52% |
| Up And Out | $27.11 | 15d | +$0.03 | $-0.08 to $0.09 | 71% | 61% |
| Ss Escape | $31.61 | 43d | +$0.02 | $-0.22 to $0.08 | 84% | 82% |
| Safety Up | $32.61 | 43d | -$0.11 | $-0.37 to $-0.06 | 87% | 85% |
| Reliable Up | $30.61 | 43d | +$0.20 | $-0.01 to $0.27 | 82% | 78% |
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.