GOOG @ $281.49

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU13190865
Shares100
Avg cost$405.00
Drawdown-30.5%
IV regimeMEDIUM
Writable1
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $405.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $298 is BELOW your $405.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $10,534 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 1 × $298 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $2.16 / mid $2.23 · $216 this cycle
5.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$589
Annualized
25%
EV / cycle
+$120
If assigned
-$10,534
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.08/share ($608 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $300.73.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$297.5018d+$1.56$0.99 to $2.1369%51%
Up And Out$298.5118d+$0.99$0.36 to $1.4469%54%
Ss Escape$306.0132d+$0.30$-1.03 to $0.7475%66%
Safety Up$316.0139d-$1.82$-3.71 to $-1.6181%77%
Reliable Up$306.0139d+$1.37$0.04 to $1.8774%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $305 is BELOW your $405.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $9,884 (premium included).
Called-away odds11%
SaferRiskier
SELL 1 × $305 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $1.16 / mid $1.21 · $116 this cycle
8.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
89%
Income / mo
$316
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$76
If assigned
-$9,884
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $6.23/share ($623 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $308.13.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$305.0018d+$1.32$1.18 to $2.6369%51%
Up And Out$306.0118d+$0.76$0.54 to $2.0369%54%
Ss Escape$313.5132d+$0.01$-0.76 to $1.5775%66%
Safety Up$318.5139d-$0.71$-1.72 to $0.7978%71%
Reliable Up$313.5139d+$1.07$0.34 to $2.7274%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $288 is BELOW your $405.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $11,255 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 1 × $288 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $4.95 / mid $5.08 · $495 this cycle
2.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$1,350
Annualized
58%
EV / cycle
+$197
If assigned
-$11,255
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.87/share ($587 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $290.53.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$287.5018d+$1.85$0.97 to $1.6769%51%
Up And Out$291.0118d+$0.13$-1.01 to $-0.2372%59%
Ss Escape$296.0132d+$0.65$-1.20 to $0.0875%66%
Safety Up$326.0139d-$4.42$-7.79 to $-5.5592%91%
Reliable Up$296.0139d+$1.75$-0.17 to $1.1874%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $305 is BELOW your $405.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $9,675 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 1 × $305 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $3.25 / mid $3.50 · $325 this cycle
8.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$305
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$167
If assigned
-$9,675
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.37/share ($937 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $307.89.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$305.0039d+$0.05$-0.60 to $0.7168%51%
Ss Escape$303.5139d+$0.88$0.29 to $1.6567%49%
Safety Up$308.5139d-$1.81$-2.71 to $-1.3871%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $305 is BELOW your $405.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $9,675 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 1 × $305 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $3.25 / mid $3.50 · $325 this cycle
8.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$305
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$167
If assigned
-$9,675
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $9.37/share ($937 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $307.89.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$305.0039d+$0.05$-0.60 to $0.7168%51%
Ss Escape$303.5139d+$0.88$0.29 to $1.6567%49%
Safety Up$308.5139d-$1.81$-2.71 to $-1.3871%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $290 is BELOW your $405.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $10,740 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 1 × $290 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $7.60 / mid $8.02 · $760 this cycle
3.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$712
Annualized
31%
EV / cycle
+$288
If assigned
-$10,740
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.91/share ($891 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $292.79.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$290.0039d+$0.75$-0.15 to $0.3868%51%
Ss Escape$288.5139d+$1.57$0.74 to $1.2567%49%
Safety Up$318.5139d-$7.54$-10.61 to $-8.9491%90%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-02 22:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.