IBIT @ $35.68

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.3%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $311,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

15 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $900 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$3,375

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$446

If assigned

-$311,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($3,345 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $37.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	10d	+$0.13	$0.10 to $0.17	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$40.82	38d	+$0.02	$-0.15 to $0.09	81%	78%
Safety Up	$42.82	45d	-$0.17	$-0.40 to $-0.12	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$40.82	45d	+$0.23	$0.07 to $0.31	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

13 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.08 · $400 this cycle

6.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$2,000

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$267

If assigned

-$309,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($2,952 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	8d	+$0.15	$0.12 to $0.20	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$42.32	45d	+$0.14	$0.04 to $0.27	83%	80%
Safety Up	$43.32	45d	-$0.04	$-0.16 to $0.08	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $315,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

13 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.35 · $1,700 this cycle

2.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$8,500

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$641

If assigned

-$315,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($2,688 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $36.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.50	8d	+$0.13	$0.09 to $0.13	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$40.82	45d	+$0.05	$-0.19 to $0.00	85%	82%
Safety Up	$42.82	45d	-$0.21	$-0.51 to $-0.28	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$39.82	45d	+$0.27	$0.08 to $0.25	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $299,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.51 / mid $0.54 · $2,550 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,013

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,188

If assigned

-$299,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.83/share ($9,164 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $39.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	45d	+$0.15	$0.06 to $0.22	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$38.82	45d	+$0.53	$0.47 to $0.64	66%	47%
Safety Up	$40.82	45d	-$0.47	$-0.61 to $-0.44	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.40 · $1,900 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,839

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$953

If assigned

-$300,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.58/share ($7,900 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $39.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	38d	+$0.13	$0.04 to $0.21	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.82	45d	+$0.35	$0.26 to $0.47	69%	55%
Safety Up	$40.82	45d	-$0.09	$-0.22 to $-0.01	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.06 / mid $1.08 · $5,300 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$5,129

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$1,749

If assigned

-$309,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.36/share ($6,810 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $37.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	38d	+$0.11	$-0.02 to $0.06	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$37.32	45d	+$0.28	$0.14 to $0.23	69%	55%
Safety Up	$40.82	38d	-$1.05	$-1.44 to $-1.22	87%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-07 21:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.