IBIT @ $36.09

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $311,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

13 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $850 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$5,100

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$527

If assigned

-$311,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($2,593 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	7d	+$0.15	$0.11 to $0.18	68%	51%
Ss Escape	$42.41	44d	+$0.02	$-0.18 to $0.06	86%	84%
Safety Up	$43.41	44d	-$0.11	$-0.34 to $-0.08	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$41.41	44d	+$0.21	$0.04 to $0.25	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

13 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $300 this cycle

6.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$228

If assigned

-$307,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($2,762 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	7d	+$0.16	$0.15 to $0.22	68%	51%
Ss Escape	$43.41	44d	+$0.08	$-0.01 to $0.22	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $313,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds26%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

13 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.29 · $1,400 this cycle

2.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

74%

Income / mo

$8,400

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$695

If assigned

-$313,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.50/share ($2,511 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	7d	+$0.14	$0.10 to $0.15	68%	51%
Ss Escape	$40.91	37d	+$0.01	$-0.23 to $-0.01	85%	82%
Safety Up	$43.91	44d	-$0.23	$-0.51 to $-0.26	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$40.91	44d	+$0.17	$-0.03 to $0.17	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $2,200 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,200

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,083

If assigned

-$300,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.47/share ($7,345 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $39.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	37d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.27	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.41	44d	+$0.11	$0.01 to $0.20	72%	60%
Safety Up	$41.41	44d	-$0.29	$-0.43 to $-0.23	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $298,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.37 · $1,800 this cycle

10.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$958

If assigned

-$298,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.51/share ($7,555 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $40.49.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	37d	+$0.19	$0.13 to $0.29	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.91	44d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.24	71%	60%
Safety Up	$41.91	44d	-$0.28	$-0.41 to $-0.19	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.00 / mid $1.02 · $5,000 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$5,000

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,303

If assigned

-$307,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.31/share ($6,536 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $37.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	37d	+$0.16	$0.07 to $0.14	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$38.41	44d	+$0.05	$-0.08 to $0.00	72%	61%
Safety Up	$42.41	44d	-$0.99	$-1.38 to $-1.16	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-08 03:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.