IBIT @ $35.09

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $316,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

13 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $850 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$5,100

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$438

If assigned

-$316,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($2,611 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $36.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.50	7d	+$0.16	$0.13 to $0.18	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$40.41	37d	+$0.01	$-0.19 to $0.04	84%	82%
Safety Up	$42.41	44d	-$0.15	$-0.39 to $-0.13	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$40.41	44d	+$0.17	$-0.00 to $0.21	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

13 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $300 this cycle

6.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$199

If assigned

-$312,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($2,775 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	7d	+$0.17	$0.15 to $0.23	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$42.41	44d	+$0.04	$-0.07 to $0.18	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$41.41	44d	+$0.24	$0.16 to $0.38	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $318,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

13 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.29 · $1,400 this cycle

2.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$8,400

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$553

If assigned

-$318,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($2,531 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $36.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.00	7d	+$0.15	$0.12 to $0.17	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$39.91	44d	+$0.14	$-0.07 to $0.11	83%	80%
Safety Up	$42.91	44d	-$0.25	$-0.55 to $-0.31	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$38.91	44d	+$0.38	$0.22 to $0.38	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $305,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.44 · $2,150 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,150

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,013

If assigned

-$305,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.49/share ($7,439 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $38.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	37d	+$0.19	$0.12 to $0.26	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.41	44d	+$0.07	$-0.04 to $0.14	71%	60%
Safety Up	$40.41	44d	-$0.33	$-0.49 to $-0.28	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.49 · $2,300 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,865

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,078

If assigned

-$302,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.76/share ($8,815 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $39.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	44d	+$0.17	$0.08 to $0.24	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$38.91	44d	+$0.21	$0.13 to $0.29	67%	52%
Safety Up	$39.91	44d	-$0.27	$-0.38 to $-0.22	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.98 / mid $1.00 · $4,900 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,900

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,580

If assigned

-$312,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.32/share ($6,597 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $36.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.50	37d	+$0.17	$0.07 to $0.14	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$37.41	44d	+$0.02	$-0.13 to $-0.04	72%	61%
Safety Up	$40.41	44d	-$0.88	$-1.22 to $-1.03	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-08 21:36 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.