IBIT @ $35.23

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.8%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $314,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $950 this cycle

5.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$3,562

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$540

If assigned

-$314,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,384 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $37.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	15d	+$0.40	$0.36 to $0.49	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.77	15d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.07	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$40.77	43d	+$0.01	$-0.19 to $0.08	82%	78%
Safety Up	$41.77	43d	-$0.17	$-0.39 to $-0.11	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$39.77	43d	+$0.27	$0.11 to $0.34	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

15 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.08 · $350 this cycle

6.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$1,750

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$260

If assigned

-$312,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($2,955 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $37.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	8d	+$0.17	$0.16 to $0.23	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.77	8d	+$0.03	$-0.01 to $0.07	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$41.27	43d	+$0.17	$0.07 to $0.32	81%	78%
Safety Up	$42.27	43d	-$0.02	$-0.15 to $0.12	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $317,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.48 · $2,350 this cycle

2.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$8,812

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$904

If assigned

-$317,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($3,176 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $36.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.00	15d	+$0.37	$0.30 to $0.37	67%	51%
Up And Out	$36.77	15d	+$0.00	$-0.13 to $-0.04	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$38.77	36d	+$0.03	$-0.20 to $-0.03	81%	76%
Safety Up	$42.77	43d	-$0.41	$-0.76 to $-0.52	92%	92%
Reliable Up	$38.77	43d	+$0.21	$-0.02 to $0.14	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $2,300 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,917

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,122

If assigned

-$302,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($8,462 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $39.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	43d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.30	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$38.77	43d	+$0.34	$0.29 to $0.43	67%	50%
Safety Up	$39.77	43d	-$0.18	$-0.28 to $-0.14	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $2,300 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,917

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,122

If assigned

-$302,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($8,462 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $39.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	43d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.30	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$38.77	43d	+$0.34	$0.29 to $0.43	67%	50%
Safety Up	$39.77	43d	-$0.18	$-0.28 to $-0.14	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $310,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.99 / mid $1.01 · $4,950 this cycle

5.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$4,125

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$1,746

If assigned

-$310,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($7,511 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $37.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	43d	+$0.20	$0.12 to $0.18	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$36.77	43d	+$0.32	$0.24 to $0.30	67%	50%
Safety Up	$39.77	43d	-$0.89	$-1.19 to $-1.03	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.