IBIT @ $35.52

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.5%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $314,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

15 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $650 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$3,250

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$335

If assigned

-$314,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($2,577 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	8d	+$0.15	$0.12 to $0.17	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$41.48	43d	+$0.00	$-0.17 to $0.06	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$40.48	43d	+$0.19	$0.05 to $0.26	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $311,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $650 this cycle

5.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$2,438

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$363

If assigned

-$311,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($3,178 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $37.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	15d	+$0.41	$0.38 to $0.50	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.98	15d	+$0.17	$0.11 to $0.25	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$40.98	43d	+$0.10	$-0.04 to $0.21	82%	78%
Safety Up	$41.98	43d	-$0.09	$-0.26 to $0.00	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $317,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

15 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.41 · $2,050 this cycle

1.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$10,250

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$645

If assigned

-$317,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($2,410 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $36.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.00	8d	+$0.14	$0.10 to $0.13	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$39.48	43d	+$0.13	$-0.10 to $0.07	83%	79%
Safety Up	$42.48	43d	-$0.27	$-0.60 to $-0.37	92%	92%
Reliable Up	$38.48	43d	+$0.41	$0.23 to $0.36	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds21%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.50 · $2,400 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

79%

Income / mo

$2,000

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$936

If assigned

-$302,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.67/share ($8,341 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $39.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	43d	+$0.17	$0.09 to $0.22	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$38.48	43d	+$0.44	$0.36 to $0.50	66%	48%
Safety Up	$39.48	43d	-$0.08	$-0.18 to $-0.05	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,550 (premium included).

Annualized yield 11.1% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.41 · $1,950 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,625

Annualized

11%

EV / cycle

+$962

If assigned

-$300,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.72/share ($8,589 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $39.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	43d	+$0.17	$0.10 to $0.26	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$38.98	43d	+$0.44	$0.37 to $0.55	66%	48%
Safety Up	$39.98	43d	-$0.08	$-0.17 to $-0.02	70%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.06 / mid $1.08 · $5,300 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,417

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$1,765

If assigned

-$309,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.48/share ($7,386 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $37.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	43d	+$0.15	$0.05 to $0.11	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$36.48	43d	+$0.42	$0.32 to $0.39	65%	47%
Safety Up	$39.48	43d	-$0.84	$-1.11 to $-0.97	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.