IBIT @ $35.80

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $314,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

15 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.18 · $900 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$5,400

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$511

If assigned

-$314,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($2,438 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	7d	+$0.16	$0.13 to $0.19	69%	51%
Up And Out	$37.20	7d	+$0.05	$-0.00 to $0.06	71%	56%
Ss Escape	$41.20	42d	+$0.03	$-0.15 to $0.07	85%	83%
Safety Up	$42.20	42d	-$0.12	$-0.33 to $-0.09	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$40.20	42d	+$0.26	$0.11 to $0.30	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

15 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $300 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$201

If assigned

-$309,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($2,604 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	7d	+$0.17	$0.16 to $0.22	69%	51%
Up And Out	$38.20	7d	+$0.06	$0.02 to $0.10	71%	56%
Ss Escape	$42.20	42d	+$0.09	$-0.01 to $0.22	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $315,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

15 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.33 · $1,600 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$9,600

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$515

If assigned

-$315,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($2,357 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $36.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.50	7d	+$0.15	$0.12 to $0.16	69%	51%
Up And Out	$36.70	7d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.03	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$40.70	42d	+$0.01	$-0.24 to $-0.04	86%	83%
Safety Up	$42.70	42d	-$0.23	$-0.54 to $-0.29	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$39.70	42d	+$0.22	$0.02 to $0.18	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.43 · $2,100 this cycle

10.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,068

If assigned

-$300,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.56/share ($7,803 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $39.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	42d	+$0.28	$0.25 to $0.36	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.70	42d	+$0.17	$0.13 to $0.24	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$39.70	42d	+$0.17	$0.13 to $0.24	69%	54%
Safety Up	$40.70	42d	-$0.30	$-0.39 to $-0.27	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.43 · $2,100 this cycle

10.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,068

If assigned

-$300,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.56/share ($7,803 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $39.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	42d	+$0.28	$0.25 to $0.36	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.70	42d	+$0.17	$0.13 to $0.24	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$39.70	42d	+$0.17	$0.13 to $0.24	69%	54%
Safety Up	$40.70	42d	-$0.30	$-0.39 to $-0.27	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.95 / mid $0.97 · $4,750 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$4,071

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$1,709

If assigned

-$307,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.38/share ($6,911 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $37.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	42d	+$0.25	$0.20 to $0.25	68%	52%
Up And Out	$37.70	42d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.13	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$37.70	42d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.13	69%	54%
Safety Up	$40.70	42d	-$0.92	$-1.19 to $-1.04	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.