IBIT @ $36.45

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.5%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.18 · $900 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,857

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$452

If assigned

-$309,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($2,831 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	14d	+$0.39	$0.35 to $0.46	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.55	14d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.16	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$41.55	42d	+$0.09	$-0.08 to $0.13	82%	79%
Safety Up	$42.55	42d	-$0.10	$-0.31 to $-0.07	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$40.55	42d	+$0.36	$0.23 to $0.43	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

15 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.08 · $350 this cycle

5.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$2,100

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$236

If assigned

-$307,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.50/share ($2,480 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	7d	+$0.14	$0.13 to $0.20	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.55	7d	+$0.12	$0.10 to $0.17	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$43.05	42d	+$0.02	$-0.10 to $0.13	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$42.05	42d	+$0.23	$0.13 to $0.34	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $313,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

15 Jul 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.34 · $1,650 this cycle

1.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$9,900

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$521

If assigned

-$313,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($2,249 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $37.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	7d	+$0.13	$0.09 to $0.12	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.05	7d	+$0.10	$0.06 to $0.09	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.55	42d	+$0.14	$-0.09 to $0.08	83%	79%
Safety Up	$43.55	42d	-$0.25	$-0.56 to $-0.33	93%	92%
Reliable Up	$39.55	42d	+$0.40	$0.22 to $0.36	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.46 · $2,200 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,886

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,026

If assigned

-$297,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.64/share ($8,209 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	42d	+$0.16	$0.07 to $0.22	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.55	42d	+$0.40	$0.33 to $0.48	66%	48%
Safety Up	$40.55	42d	-$0.13	$-0.24 to $-0.08	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.46 · $2,200 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,886

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,026

If assigned

-$297,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.64/share ($8,209 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	42d	+$0.16	$0.07 to $0.22	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.55	42d	+$0.40	$0.33 to $0.48	66%	48%
Safety Up	$40.55	42d	-$0.13	$-0.24 to $-0.08	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $305,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.99 / mid $1.01 · $4,950 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$4,243

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$1,635

If assigned

-$305,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.46/share ($7,277 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $38.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	42d	+$0.14	$0.03 to $0.09	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$37.55	42d	+$0.39	$0.28 to $0.36	66%	47%
Safety Up	$40.55	42d	-$0.86	$-1.15 to $-0.99	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 22:06 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.