IBIT @ $36.25

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU6241782
Shares5,000
Avg cost$100.00
Drawdown-63.7%
IV regimeMEDIUM
Writable50
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $311,550 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $38 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $950 this cycle
3.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$4,750
Annualized
32%
EV / cycle
+$547
If assigned
-$311,550
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($2,598 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.88.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$37.5013d+$0.38$0.30 to $0.4165%51%
Up And Out$38.2513d+$0.03$-0.12 to $0.0371%63%
Ss Escape$41.2541d+$0.06$-0.13 to $0.0784%81%
Safety Up$42.2541d-$0.12$-0.35 to $-0.1288%86%
Reliable Up$40.2541d+$0.30$0.14 to $0.3380%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,450 (premium included).
Called-away odds11%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $38 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.11 · $550 this cycle
4.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
89%
Income / mo
$2,750
Annualized
18%
EV / cycle
+$382
If assigned
-$309,450
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($2,685 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.35.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$38.0013d+$0.39$0.34 to $0.4865%51%
Up And Out$38.7513d+$0.03$-0.08 to $0.0971%63%
Ss Escape$41.7541d+$0.09$-0.04 to $0.1984%80%
Safety Up$42.7541d-$0.10$-0.26 to $-0.0187%85%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $313,400 (premium included).
Called-away odds30%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $37 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.33 · $1,600 this cycle
2.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
70%
Income / mo
$8,000
Annualized
54%
EV / cycle
+$702
If assigned
-$313,400
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.50/share ($2,512 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.38.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$37.0013d+$0.37$0.27 to $0.3665%51%
Up And Out$37.7513d+$0.02$-0.15 to $-0.0271%64%
Ss Escape$40.7541d+$0.03$-0.20 to $-0.0184%82%
Safety Up$42.7541d-$0.25$-0.56 to $-0.3291%90%
Reliable Up$39.7541d+$0.26$0.07 to $0.2480%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,400 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $40 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.53 · $2,600 this cycle
10.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$1,902
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$1,308
If assigned
-$297,400
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,400 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $40 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.53 · $2,600 this cycle
10.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$1,902
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$1,308
If assigned
-$297,400
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,600 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $38 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $1.08 / mid $1.09 · $5,400 this cycle
4.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$3,951
Annualized
27%
EV / cycle
+$1,918
If assigned
-$304,600
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-11 03:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.