IBIT @ $35.28

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $311,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $900 this cycle

6.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,455

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$334

If assigned

-$311,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($3,836 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $37.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	18d	+$0.38	$0.34 to $0.46	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.22	18d	+$0.04	$-0.04 to $0.09	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$40.22	39d	+$0.06	$-0.09 to $0.15	79%	74%
Reliable Up	$39.22	39d	+$0.39	$0.28 to $0.50	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $308,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.27 · $1,300 this cycle

7.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,167

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$667

If assigned

-$308,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.03/share ($5,172 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $38.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	25d	+$0.26	$0.19 to $0.32	67%	52%
Up And Out	$38.22	25d	+$0.14	$0.06 to $0.20	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$39.72	39d	+$0.08	$-0.06 to $0.16	75%	67%
Safety Up	$40.72	39d	-$0.25	$-0.43 to $-0.19	80%	75%
Reliable Up	$38.72	39d	+$0.48	$0.38 to $0.58	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $317,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.59 / mid $0.59 · $2,950 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$8,045

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$954

If assigned

-$317,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($3,484 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $36.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.00	18d	+$0.34	$0.27 to $0.33	67%	51%
Up And Out	$36.72	18d	+$0.01	$-0.11 to $-0.04	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$37.72	32d	+$0.12	$-0.08 to $0.04	76%	69%
Safety Up	$41.72	39d	-$0.50	$-0.86 to $-0.65	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$37.72	39d	+$0.30	$0.12 to $0.23	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.50 · $2,450 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,885

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,207

If assigned

-$302,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 39 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.50 · $2,450 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,885

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,207

If assigned

-$302,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.06 / mid $1.07 · $5,300 this cycle

3.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$4,969

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,524

If assigned

-$312,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.38/share ($6,922 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $36.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.50	39d	+$0.13	$0.01 to $0.08	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$36.22	39d	+$0.28	$0.16 to $0.24	66%	49%
Safety Up	$39.22	39d	-$0.90	$-1.22 to $-1.06	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-13 22:13 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.