IBIT @ $35.12

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $313,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.24 · $1,200 this cycle

5.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,600

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$660

If assigned

-$313,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,760 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $37.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	17d	+$0.39	$0.34 to $0.46	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.38	17d	+$0.19	$0.11 to $0.24	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$40.38	45d	+$0.00	$-0.21 to $0.06	81%	77%
Safety Up	$41.38	45d	-$0.21	$-0.47 to $-0.17	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$39.88	45d	+$0.14	$-0.05 to $0.20	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $311,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $800 this cycle

6.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$2,400

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$499

If assigned

-$311,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($3,879 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $37.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	17d	+$0.40	$0.37 to $0.52	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.88	17d	+$0.20	$0.14 to $0.31	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$40.88	45d	+$0.03	$-0.13 to $0.16	81%	76%
Safety Up	$41.38	45d	-$0.09	$-0.27 to $0.03	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$40.38	45d	+$0.17	$0.03 to $0.31	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $317,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.53 · $2,600 this cycle

2.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$7,800

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$1,001

If assigned

-$317,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($3,526 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $36.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.00	17d	+$0.36	$0.29 to $0.36	67%	51%
Up And Out	$36.38	17d	+$0.17	$0.07 to $0.15	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$38.88	45d	+$0.08	$-0.17 to $0.03	80%	75%
Safety Up	$41.88	45d	-$0.44	$-0.81 to $-0.53	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$38.38	45d	+$0.24	$0.02 to $0.21	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $305,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.45 · $2,150 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,081

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,084

If assigned

-$305,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.49/share ($7,426 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $38.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	38d	+$0.25	$0.20 to $0.32	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.38	45d	+$0.03	$-0.09 to $0.11	71%	60%
Safety Up	$40.38	45d	-$0.34	$-0.50 to $-0.29	75%	68%
Reliable Up	$38.88	45d	+$0.28	$0.19 to $0.37	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $2,300 this cycle

11.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,816

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,192

If assigned

-$302,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.67/share ($8,372 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $39.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	45d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.30	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.38	45d	+$0.03	$-0.04 to $0.09	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$39.38	45d	+$0.03	$-0.04 to $0.09	69%	56%
Safety Up	$40.38	45d	-$0.43	$-0.54 to $-0.39	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.02 / mid $1.04 · $5,100 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,935

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,751

If assigned

-$312,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.32/share ($6,581 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $36.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.50	38d	+$0.22	$0.15 to $0.19	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$36.88	45d	+$0.23	$0.10 to $0.17	69%	56%
Safety Up	$40.88	45d	-$0.99	$-1.41 to $-1.18	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-14 03:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.