IBIT @ $36.76

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.18 · $900 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$3,375

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$528

If assigned

-$306,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($3,176 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	15d	+$0.38	$0.32 to $0.44	66%	51%
Up And Out	$39.24	15d	+$0.04	$-0.07 to $0.07	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$41.74	43d	+$0.12	$-0.03 to $0.18	81%	77%
Safety Up	$42.74	43d	-$0.09	$-0.28 to $-0.05	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.11 · $550 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$2,062

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$359

If assigned

-$304,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($3,280 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $39.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	15d	+$0.39	$0.34 to $0.48	67%	51%
Up And Out	$39.74	15d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.13	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$42.24	43d	+$0.15	$0.02 to $0.27	81%	76%
Safety Up	$43.24	43d	-$0.07	$-0.24 to $0.04	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $310,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.46 · $2,250 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$8,438

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$926

If assigned

-$310,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($2,972 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	15d	+$0.36	$0.27 to $0.35	66%	51%
Up And Out	$38.24	15d	+$0.02	$-0.13 to $-0.02	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$40.74	43d	+$0.07	$-0.17 to $0.01	82%	78%
Safety Up	$42.74	36d	-$0.36	$-0.70 to $-0.46	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$40.24	43d	+$0.20	$-0.02 to $0.14	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds21%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.54 · $2,650 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

79%

Income / mo

$2,208

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,289

If assigned

-$297,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.53/share ($7,632 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $40.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	43d	+$0.20	$0.15 to $0.26	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.24	43d	+$0.07	$0.00 to $0.12	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.24	43d	+$0.07	$0.00 to $0.12	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.74	43d	-$0.52	$-0.64 to $-0.51	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $41 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $292,700 (premium included).

Annualized yield 10.6% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $41 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $2,300 this cycle

11.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,605

Annualized

11%

EV / cycle

+$1,200

If assigned

-$292,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.16 / mid $1.17 · $5,800 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$4,833

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,951

If assigned

-$304,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.35/share ($6,755 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $38.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	43d	+$0.18	$0.10 to $0.15	68%	52%
Up And Out	$38.24	43d	+$0.05	$-0.04 to $0.01	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$38.24	43d	+$0.05	$-0.04 to $0.01	69%	55%
Safety Up	$42.24	43d	-$1.09	$-1.47 to $-1.28	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-16 03:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.