IBIT @ $36.41

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.6%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $950 this cycle

4.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,562

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$466

If assigned

-$309,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($2,920 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	15d	+$0.39	$0.37 to $0.47	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.59	15d	+$0.12	$0.05 to $0.16	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$41.59	43d	+$0.04	$-0.13 to $0.09	83%	79%
Safety Up	$42.59	43d	-$0.14	$-0.34 to $-0.10	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$41.09	43d	+$0.16	$0.01 to $0.21	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.12 · $600 this cycle

5.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$342

If assigned

-$306,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($3,016 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	15d	+$0.41	$0.39 to $0.50	67%	51%
Up And Out	$39.09	15d	+$0.13	$0.08 to $0.20	71%	61%
Ss Escape	$42.09	43d	+$0.07	$-0.05 to $0.16	82%	79%
Safety Up	$42.09	36d	-$0.07	$-0.20 to $0.01	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $2,300 this cycle

1.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$8,625

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$700

If assigned

-$312,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($2,732 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	15d	+$0.37	$0.31 to $0.37	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.59	15d	+$0.10	$-0.00 to $0.07	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$40.09	43d	+$0.10	$-0.11 to $0.04	82%	78%
Safety Up	$42.59	43d	-$0.29	$-0.59 to $-0.39	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$39.59	43d	+$0.24	$0.05 to $0.18	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $2,200 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,833

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,113

If assigned

-$297,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.58/share ($7,883 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $40.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	43d	+$0.17	$0.11 to $0.25	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.09	43d	+$0.12	$0.06 to $0.20	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$40.09	43d	+$0.12	$0.06 to $0.20	68%	53%
Safety Up	$41.09	43d	-$0.34	$-0.44 to $-0.28	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $2,200 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,833

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,113

If assigned

-$297,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.58/share ($7,883 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $40.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	43d	+$0.17	$0.11 to $0.25	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.09	43d	+$0.12	$0.06 to $0.20	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$40.09	43d	+$0.12	$0.06 to $0.20	68%	53%
Safety Up	$41.09	43d	-$0.34	$-0.44 to $-0.28	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $305,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.98 / mid $0.99 · $4,900 this cycle

4.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$4,083

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$1,702

If assigned

-$305,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.40/share ($6,986 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $38.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	43d	+$0.15	$0.06 to $0.12	68%	52%
Up And Out	$38.09	43d	+$0.10	$0.01 to $0.07	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$38.09	43d	+$0.10	$0.01 to $0.07	68%	53%
Safety Up	$41.09	43d	-$0.95	$-1.26 to $-1.08	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-16 21:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.