IBIT @ $36.34

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.17 · $850 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$3,643

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

+$528

If assigned

-$309,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($3,043 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	14d	+$0.41	$0.36 to $0.48	68%	51%
Up And Out	$38.66	14d	+$0.09	$0.00 to $0.14	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$41.66	42d	+$0.03	$-0.14 to $0.10	83%	80%
Safety Up	$42.66	42d	-$0.16	$-0.37 to $-0.12	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$41.16	42d	+$0.15	$-0.01 to $0.22	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

6.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$2,143

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$349

If assigned

-$307,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($3,143 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	14d	+$0.42	$0.39 to $0.55	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.16	14d	+$0.10	$0.02 to $0.18	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$42.16	42d	+$0.06	$-0.08 to $0.18	83%	79%
Safety Up	$43.16	45d	-$0.09	$-0.26 to $0.03	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$42.16	45d	+$0.11	$-0.02 to $0.24	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $2,200 this cycle

1.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$9,429

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$899

If assigned

-$312,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($2,848 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	14d	+$0.38	$0.30 to $0.38	68%	51%
Up And Out	$37.66	14d	+$0.07	$-0.06 to $0.03	74%	63%
Ss Escape	$40.66	45d	+$0.03	$-0.22 to $-0.04	84%	80%
Safety Up	$42.66	45d	-$0.28	$-0.60 to $-0.37	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$39.66	45d	+$0.29	$0.08 to $0.24	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.44 · $2,150 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,843

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$987

If assigned

-$297,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.56/share ($7,807 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	42d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.29	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.16	42d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.21	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.66	45d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.08	71%	58%
Safety Up	$41.66	45d	-$0.41	$-0.54 to $-0.37	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.44 · $2,150 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,843

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$987

If assigned

-$297,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.56/share ($7,807 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	42d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.29	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.16	42d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.21	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.66	45d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.08	71%	58%
Safety Up	$41.66	45d	-$0.41	$-0.54 to $-0.37	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $305,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.98 / mid $0.99 · $4,900 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$4,200

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$1,723

If assigned

-$305,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.39/share ($6,926 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $38.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	42d	+$0.19	$0.12 to $0.17	68%	52%
Up And Out	$38.16	42d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.09	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$38.16	42d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.09	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.66	45d	-$0.97	$-1.30 to $-1.12	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-17 03:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.