IBIT @ $35.42

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.6%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $314,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.17 · $850 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,643

Annualized

25%

EV / cycle

+$432

If assigned

-$314,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($2,909 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	14d	+$0.41	$0.37 to $0.48	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.58	14d	+$0.13	$0.06 to $0.19	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$40.58	42d	+$0.02	$-0.15 to $0.09	82%	79%
Safety Up	$41.58	42d	-$0.15	$-0.34 to $-0.09	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$40.08	42d	+$0.15	$-0.01 to $0.23	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

5.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$2,143

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$294

If assigned

-$312,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($3,004 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $37.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	14d	+$0.42	$0.40 to $0.55	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.08	14d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.22	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$41.08	42d	+$0.04	$-0.10 to $0.15	81%	78%
Safety Up	$42.08	45d	-$0.08	$-0.24 to $0.02	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$41.08	45d	+$0.12	$-0.01 to $0.24	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $317,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.46 · $2,250 this cycle

1.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$9,643

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$725

If assigned

-$317,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($2,725 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $36.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.00	14d	+$0.39	$0.32 to $0.37	67%	51%
Up And Out	$36.58	14d	+$0.11	$-0.01 to $0.07	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$39.58	45d	+$0.03	$-0.22 to $-0.05	83%	80%
Safety Up	$41.58	45d	-$0.28	$-0.61 to $-0.39	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$38.58	45d	+$0.29	$0.09 to $0.23	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.45 · $2,150 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,843

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,058

If assigned

-$302,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.55/share ($7,760 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $39.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	42d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.30	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.08	42d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.25	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$39.58	45d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.11	70%	57%
Safety Up	$40.58	45d	-$0.40	$-0.53 to $-0.35	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.45 · $2,150 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,843

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,058

If assigned

-$302,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.55/share ($7,760 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $39.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	42d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.30	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.08	42d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.25	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$39.58	45d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.11	70%	57%
Safety Up	$40.58	45d	-$0.40	$-0.53 to $-0.35	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $310,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.98 / mid $0.99 · $4,900 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$4,200

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$1,680

If assigned

-$310,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.38/share ($6,876 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $37.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	42d	+$0.20	$0.12 to $0.18	68%	52%
Up And Out	$37.08	42d	+$0.15	$0.07 to $0.13	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$37.08	42d	+$0.15	$0.07 to $0.13	68%	53%
Safety Up	$40.58	45d	-$0.97	$-1.31 to $-1.12	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-17 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.