IBIT @ $36.82

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $303,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.23 · $1,150 this cycle

5.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$3,450

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$678

If assigned

-$303,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($3,922 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $39.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	17d	+$0.39	$0.36 to $0.49	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.68	17d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.13	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$42.18	41d	+$0.01	$-0.14 to $0.11	81%	76%
Safety Up	$43.18	41d	-$0.22	$-0.41 to $-0.13	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$41.68	38d	+$0.08	$-0.05 to $0.18	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $301,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.16 · $750 this cycle

7.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$467

If assigned

-$301,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($4,043 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $39.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	17d	+$0.40	$0.37 to $0.53	68%	51%
Up And Out	$40.18	17d	+$0.07	$0.01 to $0.19	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$42.68	41d	+$0.04	$-0.08 to $0.21	81%	76%
Reliable Up	$42.18	38d	+$0.11	$-0.00 to $0.28	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.64 · $3,150 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$9,450

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$1,148

If assigned

-$309,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($3,571 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	17d	+$0.35	$0.27 to $0.33	68%	51%
Up And Out	$38.18	17d	+$0.03	$-0.10 to $-0.02	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$40.18	38d	+$0.01	$-0.25 to $-0.09	80%	75%
Safety Up	$42.68	38d	-$0.44	$-0.82 to $-0.59	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$39.68	41d	+$0.22	$-0.00 to $0.13	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $295,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.41 · $2,000 this cycle

10.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,935

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,081

If assigned

-$295,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($7,481 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $40.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.50	38d	+$0.28	$0.24 to $0.37	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.68	38d	+$0.18	$0.14 to $0.26	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.68	38d	+$0.18	$0.14 to $0.26	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.68	38d	-$0.28	$-0.38 to $-0.24	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $295,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.41 · $2,000 this cycle

10.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,935

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,081

If assigned

-$295,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($7,481 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $40.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.50	38d	+$0.28	$0.24 to $0.37	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.68	38d	+$0.18	$0.14 to $0.26	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.68	38d	+$0.18	$0.14 to $0.26	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.68	38d	-$0.28	$-0.38 to $-0.24	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.92 / mid $0.93 · $4,600 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$4,452

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$1,733

If assigned

-$302,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.33/share ($6,648 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $38.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	38d	+$0.25	$0.19 to $0.24	68%	52%
Up And Out	$38.68	38d	+$0.15	$0.08 to $0.14	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$38.68	38d	+$0.15	$0.08 to $0.14	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.68	38d	-$0.90	$-1.19 to $-1.02	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.