IBIT @ $37.13

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-62.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $303,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.23 · $1,100 this cycle

5.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,300

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$460

If assigned

-$303,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($3,368 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $39.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	17d	+$0.35	$0.31 to $0.42	66%	51%
Up And Out	$39.37	17d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.23	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$41.87	38d	+$0.03	$-0.13 to $0.08	80%	75%
Safety Up	$42.87	38d	-$0.18	$-0.37 to $-0.15	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$41.37	38d	+$0.17	$0.03 to $0.22	77%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $301,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.16 · $750 this cycle

6.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$361

If assigned

-$301,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($3,471 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $39.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	17d	+$0.37	$0.34 to $0.48	66%	51%
Up And Out	$39.87	17d	+$0.19	$0.14 to $0.28	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$42.37	38d	+$0.05	$-0.07 to $0.16	79%	75%
Safety Up	$43.37	41d	-$0.11	$-0.26 to $-0.01	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$42.37	41d	+$0.12	$0.00 to $0.23	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $2,300 this cycle

2.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$6,900

Annualized

45%

EV / cycle

+$617

If assigned

-$307,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($3,164 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	17d	+$0.33	$0.27 to $0.33	66%	51%
Up And Out	$38.37	17d	+$0.16	$0.08 to $0.14	69%	57%
Ss Escape	$40.87	41d	+$0.04	$-0.16 to $-0.01	80%	76%
Safety Up	$43.87	41d	-$0.40	$-0.72 to $-0.50	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$39.87	41d	+$0.34	$0.18 to $0.31	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $295,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.42 · $2,050 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,984

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$905

If assigned

-$295,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.38/share ($6,881 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $40.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.50	38d	+$0.23	$0.18 to $0.29	67%	52%
Up And Out	$40.87	38d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.10	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$40.87	38d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.10	69%	56%
Safety Up	$41.87	38d	-$0.35	$-0.46 to $-0.34	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $295,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.42 · $2,050 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,984

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$905

If assigned

-$295,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.38/share ($6,881 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $40.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.50	38d	+$0.23	$0.18 to $0.29	67%	52%
Up And Out	$40.87	38d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.10	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$40.87	38d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.10	69%	56%
Safety Up	$41.87	38d	-$0.35	$-0.46 to $-0.34	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.94 / mid $0.95 · $4,700 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,548

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$1,341

If assigned

-$302,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.22/share ($6,111 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $38.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	38d	+$0.21	$0.14 to $0.19	67%	52%
Up And Out	$38.87	38d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $-0.01	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$38.87	38d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $-0.01	69%	56%
Safety Up	$42.37	41d	-$0.90	$-1.25 to $-1.06	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 12:01 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.