IBIT @ $37.26

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-62.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $301,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $950 this cycle

6.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$3,167

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

+$525

If assigned

-$301,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($3,699 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $39.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	16d	+$0.42	$0.39 to $0.53	67%	51%
Up And Out	$40.24	16d	+$0.08	$0.00 to $0.15	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$42.24	37d	+$0.16	$0.02 to $0.26	79%	74%
Safety Up	$43.24	37d	-$0.09	$-0.26 to $0.00	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $299,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $650 this cycle

7.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$2,167

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$404

If assigned

-$299,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($3,810 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $40.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	16d	+$0.43	$0.42 to $0.56	67%	51%
Up And Out	$40.74	16d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.19	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$42.74	37d	+$0.19	$0.07 to $0.34	79%	73%
Safety Up	$43.74	37d	-$0.07	$-0.22 to $0.08	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.55 / mid $0.56 · $2,750 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$9,167

Annualized

60%

EV / cycle

+$855

If assigned

-$307,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,378 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $38.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	16d	+$0.38	$0.31 to $0.38	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.74	16d	+$0.05	$-0.08 to $0.00	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$40.74	37d	+$0.08	$-0.16 to $0.00	80%	75%
Safety Up	$43.74	40d	-$0.39	$-0.75 to $-0.52	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$40.24	37d	+$0.21	$0.01 to $0.15	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $41 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $292,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $41 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.43 · $2,100 this cycle

10.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,100

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,096

If assigned

-$292,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($7,477 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $41.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$41.00	37d	+$0.26	$0.21 to $0.36	68%	52%
Up And Out	$41.24	37d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.24	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$41.74	40d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.13	71%	59%
Safety Up	$42.74	40d	-$0.38	$-0.50 to $-0.30	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $41 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $292,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $41 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.43 · $2,100 this cycle

10.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,100

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,096

If assigned

-$292,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($7,477 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $41.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$41.00	37d	+$0.26	$0.21 to $0.36	68%	52%
Up And Out	$41.24	37d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.24	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$41.74	40d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.13	71%	59%
Safety Up	$42.74	40d	-$0.38	$-0.50 to $-0.30	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.10 / mid $1.11 · $5,500 this cycle

3.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$5,500

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$1,779

If assigned

-$302,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.29/share ($6,462 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $38.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	37d	+$0.23	$0.15 to $0.19	67%	52%
Up And Out	$38.74	37d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.08	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$38.74	37d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.08	69%	55%
Safety Up	$43.24	37d	-$1.08	$-1.52 to $-1.30	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-22 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.