IBIT @ $37.30

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-62.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $301,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $900 this cycle

5.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$3,375

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$563

If assigned

-$301,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($3,620 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $39.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	15d	+$0.45	$0.41 to $0.55	68%	51%
Up And Out	$40.20	15d	+$0.11	$0.02 to $0.19	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$42.20	36d	+$0.18	$0.02 to $0.29	79%	73%
Safety Up	$43.20	36d	-$0.07	$-0.27 to $0.02	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $299,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.13 · $600 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$414

If assigned

-$299,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,728 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $40.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	15d	+$0.46	$0.46 to $0.59	68%	51%
Up And Out	$40.70	15d	+$0.12	$0.08 to $0.22	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$43.70	39d	+$0.00	$-0.11 to $0.14	82%	78%
Reliable Up	$42.70	36d	+$0.21	$0.12 to $0.36	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.56 / mid $0.57 · $2,800 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$10,500

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$1,033

If assigned

-$307,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($3,305 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $38.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	15d	+$0.41	$0.33 to $0.40	68%	51%
Up And Out	$38.70	15d	+$0.08	$-0.05 to $0.04	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$40.70	36d	+$0.10	$-0.15 to $0.02	80%	75%
Safety Up	$43.70	39d	-$0.38	$-0.75 to $-0.51	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$40.20	36d	+$0.24	$0.03 to $0.18	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $41 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $292,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $41 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.55 / mid $0.56 · $2,750 this cycle

9.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,292

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,355

If assigned

-$292,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.66/share ($8,320 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $41.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$41.00	39d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.13	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.70	39d	+$0.26	$0.24 to $0.31	67%	49%
Safety Up	$41.70	39d	-$0.25	$-0.31 to $-0.25	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $42 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $288,100 (premium included).

Annualized yield 10.3% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $42 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.39 · $1,900 this cycle

12.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$1,583

Annualized

10%

EV / cycle

+$1,046

If assigned

-$288,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.76/share ($8,791 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $42.51.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$42.00	39d	+$0.11	$0.09 to $0.17	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$41.70	39d	+$0.26	$0.26 to $0.35	67%	49%
Safety Up	$42.70	39d	-$0.24	$-0.30 to $-0.21	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $299,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.10 / mid $1.11 · $5,500 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$4,583

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$1,941

If assigned

-$299,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.48/share ($7,415 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $39.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	39d	+$0.09	$0.05 to $0.08	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$38.70	39d	+$0.25	$0.22 to $0.25	66%	49%
Safety Up	$41.70	39d	-$0.94	$-1.19 to $-1.05	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-23 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.