IBIT @ $36.34

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $800 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$4,000

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$506

If assigned

-$309,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($2,830 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	13d	+$0.43	$0.39 to $0.53	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.66	13d	+$0.12	$0.05 to $0.17	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$41.66	41d	+$0.06	$-0.10 to $0.12	83%	80%
Safety Up	$42.66	41d	-$0.14	$-0.33 to $-0.09	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$40.66	41d	+$0.31	$0.19 to $0.39	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $450 this cycle

6.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$324

If assigned

-$307,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($2,921 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	13d	+$0.44	$0.44 to $0.57	67%	51%
Up And Out	$39.16	13d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.23	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$42.16	37d	+$0.00	$-0.13 to $0.13	84%	80%
Reliable Up	$42.16	41d	+$0.09	$-0.04 to $0.22	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.41 · $2,050 this cycle

1.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$10,250

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$809

If assigned

-$312,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.53/share ($2,652 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	13d	+$0.40	$0.33 to $0.40	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.66	13d	+$0.10	$-0.03 to $0.07	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$40.66	41d	+$0.01	$-0.25 to $-0.05	84%	81%
Safety Up	$42.66	41d	-$0.29	$-0.63 to $-0.37	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$39.66	41d	+$0.25	$0.03 to $0.21	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.43 · $2,150 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,897

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,141

If assigned

-$297,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.52/share ($7,598 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	37d	+$0.11	$0.09 to $0.15	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.16	41d	+$0.18	$0.13 to $0.24	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.16	41d	-$0.29	$-0.38 to $-0.26	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.43 · $2,150 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,897

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,141

If assigned

-$297,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.52/share ($7,598 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	37d	+$0.11	$0.09 to $0.15	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.16	41d	+$0.18	$0.13 to $0.24	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.16	41d	-$0.29	$-0.38 to $-0.26	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $305,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.95 / mid $0.96 · $4,750 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$4,191

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$1,735

If assigned

-$305,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.35/share ($6,736 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $38.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	37d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.10	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$38.16	41d	+$0.15	$0.08 to $0.13	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.16	41d	-$0.91	$-1.19 to $-1.03	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-25 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.