IBIT @ $36.78

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $900 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$527

If assigned

-$304,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($3,817 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $39.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	17d	+$0.38	$0.35 to $0.49	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.72	17d	+$0.03	$-0.04 to $0.10	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$41.72	38d	+$0.03	$-0.13 to $0.14	77%	73%
Safety Up	$41.72	31d	-$0.12	$-0.27 to $-0.03	81%	77%
Reliable Up	$41.22	38d	+$0.19	$0.05 to $0.30	75%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $900 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$527

If assigned

-$304,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($3,817 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $39.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	17d	+$0.38	$0.35 to $0.49	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.72	17d	+$0.03	$-0.04 to $0.10	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$41.72	38d	+$0.03	$-0.13 to $0.14	77%	73%
Safety Up	$41.72	31d	-$0.12	$-0.27 to $-0.03	81%	77%
Reliable Up	$41.22	38d	+$0.19	$0.05 to $0.30	75%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.59 · $2,900 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$8,700

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$1,044

If assigned

-$309,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($3,472 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	17d	+$0.34	$0.26 to $0.33	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.22	17d	+$0.00	$-0.13 to $-0.05	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$39.72	34d	+$0.02	$-0.20 to $-0.06	79%	74%
Safety Up	$42.72	38d	-$0.46	$-0.82 to $-0.59	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$39.22	38d	+$0.29	$0.07 to $0.22	74%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $2,300 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,226

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,160

If assigned

-$297,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.40/share ($6,999 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $40.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	34d	+$0.12	$0.12 to $0.18	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.22	38d	+$0.17	$0.14 to $0.24	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.22	34d	-$0.44	$-0.51 to $-0.45	75%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $2,300 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,226

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,160

If assigned

-$297,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.40/share ($6,999 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $40.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	34d	+$0.12	$0.12 to $0.18	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.22	38d	+$0.17	$0.14 to $0.24	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.22	34d	-$0.44	$-0.51 to $-0.45	75%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

31 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.11 / mid $1.12 · $5,550 this cycle

3.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$4,897

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,891

If assigned

-$304,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.30/share ($6,480 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $38.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	38d	+$0.15	$0.11 to $0.14	68%	52%
Up And Out	$38.22	38d	+$0.03	$-0.01 to $0.01	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$38.22	38d	+$0.03	$-0.01 to $0.01	69%	54%
Safety Up	$42.22	38d	-$1.10	$-1.50 to $-1.30	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.