IBIT @ $35.83

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $308,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.41 · $1,950 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$5,850

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

+$1,580

If assigned

-$308,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.26/share ($6,296 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $38.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	17d	+$0.40	$0.29 to $0.54	74%	51%
Up And Out	$38.17	17d	+$0.28	$0.15 to $0.41	75%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.17	38d	+$0.10	$-0.17 to $0.24	80%	71%
Safety Up	$41.17	38d	-$0.28	$-0.60 to $-0.16	83%	78%
Reliable Up	$39.67	38d	+$0.32	$0.08 to $0.48	78%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $850 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$2,550

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$756

If assigned

-$304,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.34/share ($6,691 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $39.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	17d	+$0.43	$0.41 to $0.68	74%	51%
Up And Out	$39.67	17d	+$0.02	$-0.05 to $0.25	77%	61%
Ss Escape	$41.17	34d	+$0.03	$-0.09 to $0.36	80%	71%
Reliable Up	$41.17	38d	+$0.17	$0.05 to $0.51	79%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $1.05 / mid $1.06 · $5,250 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$15,750

Annualized

107%

EV / cycle

+$3,287

If assigned

-$312,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.15/share ($5,725 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $36.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.50	17d	+$0.37	$0.17 to $0.30	74%	51%
Up And Out	$36.67	17d	+$0.24	$0.03 to $0.18	75%	54%
Ss Escape	$38.17	31d	+$0.01	$-0.38 to $-0.13	79%	70%
Safety Up	$41.17	38d	-$0.71	$-1.30 to $-0.95	90%	88%
Reliable Up	$37.67	38d	+$0.46	$0.09 to $0.33	76%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $301,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.69 / mid $0.70 · $3,450 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,339

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$2,339

If assigned

-$301,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.90/share ($9,495 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $39.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	34d	+$0.10	$0.05 to $0.14	73%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.17	38d	+$0.17	$0.08 to $0.23	73%	54%
Safety Up	$40.67	38d	-$0.61	$-0.77 to $-0.61	79%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.46 · $2,250 this cycle

11.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$2,177

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,672

If assigned

-$297,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.01/share ($10,071 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	34d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.19	73%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.17	38d	+$0.19	$0.12 to $0.32	73%	54%
Safety Up	$41.17	38d	-$0.36	$-0.47 to $-0.27	76%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.48 / mid $1.50 · $7,400 this cycle

3.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$7,161

Annualized

49%

EV / cycle

+$3,881

If assigned

-$307,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.68/share ($8,393 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $37.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	34d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.06	73%	52%
Ss Escape	$37.17	38d	+$0.14	$0.02 to $0.08	73%	54%
Safety Up	$41.17	38d	-$1.35	$-1.84 to $-1.59	91%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-28 11:55 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.