IBIT @ $36.10

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $308,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.23 · $1,150 this cycle

5.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,833

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$640

If assigned

-$308,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($3,638 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	16d	+$0.39	$0.34 to $0.49	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.40	16d	+$0.18	$0.11 to $0.25	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$40.40	37d	+$0.14	$-0.02 to $0.22	79%	73%
Safety Up	$41.40	37d	-$0.12	$-0.32 to $-0.05	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.16 · $750 this cycle

6.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$2,500

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$475

If assigned

-$306,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,752 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $38.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	16d	+$0.40	$0.38 to $0.51	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.90	16d	+$0.20	$0.15 to $0.29	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$41.40	37d	+$0.02	$-0.10 to $0.13	80%	76%
Safety Up	$41.90	37d	-$0.10	$-0.24 to $0.00	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$40.90	37d	+$0.17	$0.07 to $0.29	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.51 · $2,500 this cycle

2.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$8,333

Annualized

56%

EV / cycle

+$1,009

If assigned

-$312,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,417 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	16d	+$0.36	$0.28 to $0.37	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.40	16d	+$0.16	$0.06 to $0.14	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$39.40	37d	+$0.09	$-0.13 to $0.04	79%	74%
Safety Up	$41.90	33d	-$0.46	$-0.79 to $-0.55	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$38.40	30d	+$0.24	$0.06 to $0.21	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.42 · $2,100 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,100

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,112

If assigned

-$300,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.42/share ($7,089 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $39.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	33d	+$0.10	$0.08 to $0.15	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.90	37d	+$0.06	$0.00 to $0.12	70%	56%
Safety Up	$40.90	37d	-$0.37	$-0.48 to $-0.34	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.42 · $2,100 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,100

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,112

If assigned

-$300,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.42/share ($7,089 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $39.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	33d	+$0.10	$0.08 to $0.15	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.90	37d	+$0.06	$0.00 to $0.12	70%	56%
Safety Up	$40.90	37d	-$0.37	$-0.48 to $-0.34	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

28 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.96 / mid $0.97 · $4,800 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,800

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,450

If assigned

-$307,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.26/share ($6,283 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $37.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	33d	+$0.08	$0.05 to $0.08	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$37.90	37d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.00	70%	56%
Safety Up	$40.90	37d	-$0.92	$-1.23 to $-1.05	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-29 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.