IBIT @ $36.63

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.4%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $750 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,812

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$422

If assigned

-$306,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($3,108 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	15d	+$0.39	$0.36 to $0.47	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.87	15d	+$0.21	$0.15 to $0.27	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$41.87	43d	+$0.06	$-0.09 to $0.12	81%	78%
Safety Up	$42.37	43d	-$0.06	$-0.24 to $-0.01	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$40.87	36d	+$0.20	$0.08 to $0.27	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $750 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,812

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$422

If assigned

-$306,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($3,108 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	15d	+$0.39	$0.36 to $0.47	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.87	15d	+$0.21	$0.15 to $0.27	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$41.87	43d	+$0.06	$-0.09 to $0.12	81%	78%
Safety Up	$42.37	43d	-$0.06	$-0.24 to $-0.01	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$40.87	36d	+$0.20	$0.08 to $0.27	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $310,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.39 · $1,900 this cycle

2.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$7,125

Annualized

47%

EV / cycle

+$682

If assigned

-$310,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($2,915 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	15d	+$0.36	$0.30 to $0.38	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.87	15d	+$0.18	$0.10 to $0.18	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$40.87	43d	+$0.01	$-0.23 to $-0.04	82%	79%
Safety Up	$42.87	36d	-$0.38	$-0.70 to $-0.45	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$39.87	36d	+$0.14	$-0.04 to $0.11	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $298,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.40 · $1,950 this cycle

9.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,828

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$990

If assigned

-$298,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.39/share ($6,930 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $40.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	36d	+$0.18	$0.15 to $0.22	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.37	43d	+$0.21	$0.14 to $0.30	69%	55%
Safety Up	$41.37	43d	-$0.23	$-0.35 to $-0.17	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $298,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.40 · $1,950 this cycle

9.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,828

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$990

If assigned

-$298,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.39/share ($6,930 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $40.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	36d	+$0.18	$0.15 to $0.22	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$40.37	43d	+$0.21	$0.14 to $0.30	69%	55%
Safety Up	$41.37	43d	-$0.23	$-0.35 to $-0.17	73%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.06 / mid $1.08 · $5,300 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$4,417

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$1,716

If assigned

-$304,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.35/share ($6,755 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $38.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	43d	+$0.17	$0.09 to $0.14	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$37.87	43d	+$0.24	$0.16 to $0.22	67%	51%
Safety Up	$41.37	43d	-$0.98	$-1.32 to $-1.14	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-30 21:42 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.