IBIT @ $36.73

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.3%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.16 · $750 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$3,214

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

+$472

If assigned

-$306,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($2,951 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	14d	+$0.41	$0.39 to $0.51	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.27	14d	+$0.05	$-0.04 to $0.10	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$41.77	42d	+$0.10	$-0.05 to $0.18	82%	78%
Safety Up	$42.77	42d	-$0.13	$-0.32 to $-0.06	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$41.27	42d	+$0.21	$0.07 to $0.29	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $450 this cycle

6.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,929

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$323

If assigned

-$304,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($3,046 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $39.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	14d	+$0.42	$0.41 to $0.57	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.77	14d	+$0.06	$-0.00 to $0.16	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$42.27	42d	+$0.13	$0.03 to $0.28	81%	77%
Safety Up	$42.77	42d	-$0.00	$-0.13 to $0.13	83%	80%
Reliable Up	$41.77	42d	+$0.24	$0.14 to $0.39	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $310,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.40 · $1,950 this cycle

2.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$8,357

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$788

If assigned

-$310,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($2,765 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	14d	+$0.39	$0.32 to $0.40	68%	51%
Up And Out	$38.27	14d	+$0.02	$-0.09 to $0.00	75%	65%
Ss Escape	$40.77	42d	+$0.05	$-0.17 to $0.01	83%	79%
Safety Up	$41.77	28d	-$0.35	$-0.65 to $-0.41	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$39.77	42d	+$0.29	$0.11 to $0.27	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $298,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.39 · $1,900 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,839

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,001

If assigned

-$298,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.35/share ($6,758 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $40.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	35d	+$0.18	$0.15 to $0.22	67%	52%
Up And Out	$40.27	35d	+$0.03	$-0.00 to $0.06	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$40.77	42d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.08	71%	59%
Safety Up	$41.27	42d	-$0.20	$-0.31 to $-0.15	73%	64%
Reliable Up	$40.27	42d	+$0.25	$0.18 to $0.33	69%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $298,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

31 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.39 · $1,900 this cycle

8.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,839

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,001

If assigned

-$298,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.35/share ($6,758 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $40.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	35d	+$0.18	$0.15 to $0.22	67%	52%
Up And Out	$40.27	35d	+$0.03	$-0.00 to $0.06	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$40.77	42d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.08	71%	59%
Safety Up	$41.27	42d	-$0.20	$-0.31 to $-0.15	73%	64%
Reliable Up	$40.27	42d	+$0.25	$0.18 to $0.33	69%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.07 / mid $1.09 · $5,350 this cycle

3.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$4,586

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$1,778

If assigned

-$304,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.31/share ($6,572 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $38.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	42d	+$0.18	$0.09 to $0.14	67%	52%
Up And Out	$38.27	42d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $-0.02	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$38.27	42d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $-0.02	69%	55%
Safety Up	$41.77	42d	-$1.03	$-1.41 to $-1.22	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-31 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.