IBIT @ $35.88

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.1%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $311,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $700 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$375

If assigned

-$311,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($2,717 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	14d	+$0.40	$0.35 to $0.46	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.12	14d	+$0.10	$0.02 to $0.15	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$40.62	42d	+$0.11	$-0.03 to $0.18	81%	77%
Safety Up	$41.62	42d	-$0.09	$-0.27 to $-0.05	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$40.12	35d	+$0.12	$-0.01 to $0.18	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $311,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $700 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$375

If assigned

-$311,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($2,717 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	14d	+$0.40	$0.35 to $0.46	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.12	14d	+$0.10	$0.02 to $0.15	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$40.62	42d	+$0.11	$-0.03 to $0.18	81%	77%
Safety Up	$41.62	42d	-$0.09	$-0.27 to $-0.05	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$40.12	35d	+$0.12	$-0.01 to $0.18	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $315,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.41 · $2,000 this cycle

1.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$8,571

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$666

If assigned

-$315,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($2,539 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $36.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.50	14d	+$0.37	$0.31 to $0.38	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.12	14d	+$0.08	$-0.03 to $0.06	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$39.62	42d	+$0.06	$-0.16 to $0.01	82%	79%
Safety Up	$41.62	42d	-$0.29	$-0.59 to $-0.37	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$38.62	35d	+$0.21	$0.04 to $0.17	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $303,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

31 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.40 · $1,950 this cycle

8.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$1,887

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$789

If assigned

-$303,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.30/share ($6,523 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $39.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	35d	+$0.17	$0.14 to $0.20	67%	52%
Up And Out	$39.12	35d	+$0.10	$0.08 to $0.13	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$39.62	42d	+$0.10	$0.02 to $0.16	71%	58%
Safety Up	$40.62	42d	-$0.32	$-0.45 to $-0.29	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,600 (premium included).

Annualized yield 11.0% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.40 · $1,900 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,629

Annualized

11%

EV / cycle

+$970

If assigned

-$300,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.47/share ($7,341 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $39.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	42d	+$0.23	$0.19 to $0.31	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.62	42d	+$0.17	$0.13 to $0.24	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$39.62	42d	+$0.17	$0.13 to $0.24	68%	53%
Safety Up	$40.62	42d	-$0.31	$-0.40 to $-0.27	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $310,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

31 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.96 / mid $0.97 · $4,800 this cycle

3.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$4,645

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$1,501

If assigned

-$310,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.15/share ($5,744 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $37.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	35d	+$0.15	$0.12 to $0.14	67%	52%
Up And Out	$37.12	35d	+$0.09	$0.05 to $0.07	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$37.62	42d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.01	71%	59%
Safety Up	$40.62	35d	-$0.95	$-1.30 to $-1.11	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-31 21:48 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.