IBIT @ $35.66

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-64.3%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $314,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.17 · $850 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$4,250

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$496

If assigned

-$314,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($2,545 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	13d	+$0.41	$0.37 to $0.48	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.84	13d	+$0.03	$-0.07 to $0.06	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$40.34	41d	+$0.05	$-0.12 to $0.09	83%	80%
Safety Up	$41.34	41d	-$0.12	$-0.33 to $-0.09	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$39.84	41d	+$0.16	$0.01 to $0.22	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$2,500

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$350

If assigned

-$312,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.53/share ($2,632 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	13d	+$0.42	$0.41 to $0.53	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.34	13d	+$0.04	$-0.04 to $0.11	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$40.84	41d	+$0.07	$-0.06 to $0.18	83%	79%
Safety Up	$41.34	41d	-$0.04	$-0.19 to $0.06	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $36 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $316,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $36 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.29 · $1,450 this cycle

2.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$7,250

Annualized

49%

EV / cycle

+$658

If assigned

-$316,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($2,460 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $36.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$36.50	13d	+$0.39	$0.33 to $0.43	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.34	13d	+$0.02	$-0.10 to $0.00	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$39.84	41d	+$0.02	$-0.18 to $-0.00	84%	80%
Safety Up	$41.34	34d	-$0.28	$-0.55 to $-0.33	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$38.84	34d	+$0.16	$-0.00 to $0.15	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.42 · $2,050 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,809

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,072

If assigned

-$302,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.44/share ($7,201 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $39.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	41d	+$0.21	$0.16 to $0.27	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.34	41d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.09	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$39.34	41d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.09	69%	55%
Safety Up	$39.84	41d	-$0.20	$-0.29 to $-0.17	72%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $39 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $302,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $39 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.42 · $2,050 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,809

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,072

If assigned

-$302,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.44/share ($7,201 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $39.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.00	41d	+$0.21	$0.16 to $0.27	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.34	41d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.09	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$39.34	41d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.09	69%	55%
Safety Up	$39.84	41d	-$0.20	$-0.29 to $-0.17	72%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $310,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.98 / mid $0.99 · $4,900 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,324

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$1,702

If assigned

-$310,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.27/share ($6,350 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $37.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	41d	+$0.18	$0.11 to $0.16	68%	52%
Up And Out	$37.34	41d	+$0.02	$-0.06 to $-0.02	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$37.34	41d	+$0.02	$-0.06 to $-0.02	69%	56%
Safety Up	$40.34	41d	-$0.96	$-1.29 to $-1.12	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-01 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.