IBIT @ $36.26

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.18 · $900 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$471

If assigned

-$309,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($3,115 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $38.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	17d	+$0.36	$0.32 to $0.41	66%	51%
Up And Out	$38.74	17d	+$0.01	$-0.09 to $0.04	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$40.74	38d	+$0.02	$-0.12 to $0.07	80%	76%
Safety Up	$42.74	45d	-$0.18	$-0.36 to $-0.14	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$40.74	45d	+$0.23	$0.10 to $0.28	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.18 · $900 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$471

If assigned

-$309,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($3,115 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $38.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	17d	+$0.36	$0.32 to $0.41	66%	51%
Up And Out	$38.74	17d	+$0.01	$-0.09 to $0.04	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$40.74	38d	+$0.02	$-0.12 to $0.07	80%	76%
Safety Up	$42.74	45d	-$0.18	$-0.36 to $-0.14	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$40.74	45d	+$0.23	$0.10 to $0.28	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.44 · $2,150 this cycle

2.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$6,450

Annualized

43%

EV / cycle

+$716

If assigned

-$312,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($2,908 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	17d	+$0.34	$0.28 to $0.33	66%	51%
Up And Out	$37.24	17d	+$0.21	$0.13 to $0.19	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$39.74	45d	+$0.16	$-0.02 to $0.11	80%	75%
Safety Up	$42.74	45d	-$0.32	$-0.61 to $-0.42	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.40 · $1,950 this cycle

9.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,887

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$961

If assigned

-$300,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.32/share ($6,592 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $39.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	38d	+$0.25	$0.21 to $0.31	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.74	38d	+$0.12	$0.07 to $0.18	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.24	45d	+$0.16	$0.08 to $0.24	71%	59%
Safety Up	$41.24	45d	-$0.25	$-0.37 to $-0.19	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.40 · $1,950 this cycle

9.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,887

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$961

If assigned

-$300,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.32/share ($6,592 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $39.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	38d	+$0.25	$0.21 to $0.31	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.74	38d	+$0.12	$0.07 to $0.18	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.24	45d	+$0.16	$0.08 to $0.24	71%	59%
Safety Up	$41.24	45d	-$0.25	$-0.37 to $-0.19	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.93 / mid $0.94 · $4,650 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$4,500

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$1,527

If assigned

-$307,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.16/share ($5,808 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $37.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	38d	+$0.22	$0.16 to $0.20	68%	52%
Up And Out	$37.74	38d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.06	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$38.24	45d	+$0.10	$-0.01 to $0.05	71%	60%
Safety Up	$42.24	45d	-$0.91	$-1.27 to $-1.09	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-04 21:42 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.