IBIT @ $36.39

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.6%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.30 · $1,450 this cycle

5.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,719

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$765

If assigned

-$306,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($4,278 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $38.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	23d	+$0.34	$0.31 to $0.41	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.11	23d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.08	72%	60%
Ss Escape	$41.11	44d	+$0.05	$-0.09 to $0.12	79%	73%
Safety Up	$42.11	44d	-$0.19	$-0.37 to $-0.14	83%	79%
Reliable Up	$40.11	44d	+$0.37	$0.26 to $0.46	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $650 this cycle

5.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$2,167

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$422

If assigned

-$306,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($3,086 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $38.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	16d	+$0.40	$0.42 to $0.51	67%	51%
Up And Out	$39.11	16d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.17	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$42.11	44d	+$0.12	$0.01 to $0.20	82%	78%
Safety Up	$43.11	44d	-$0.07	$-0.21 to $0.00	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.48 · $2,350 this cycle

1.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$7,833

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$474

If assigned

-$312,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($2,802 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	16d	+$0.36	$0.33 to $0.39	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.61	16d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.04	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$40.61	44d	+$0.03	$-0.18 to $-0.05	84%	80%
Safety Up	$42.61	44d	-$0.26	$-0.54 to $-0.37	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$39.61	44d	+$0.27	$0.10 to $0.21	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.46 · $2,250 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,143

If assigned

-$300,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.33/share ($6,670 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $39.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	37d	+$0.25	$0.21 to $0.32	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.61	37d	+$0.19	$0.14 to $0.26	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$40.11	44d	+$0.23	$0.15 to $0.32	71%	58%
Safety Up	$41.11	37d	-$0.45	$-0.57 to $-0.42	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $298,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.36 · $1,800 this cycle

9.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$977

If assigned

-$298,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.37/share ($6,874 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $40.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	37d	+$0.26	$0.22 to $0.34	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.11	37d	+$0.20	$0.16 to $0.29	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$40.61	44d	+$0.24	$0.17 to $0.36	71%	58%
Safety Up	$41.61	44d	-$0.18	$-0.29 to $-0.09	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.02 / mid $1.03 · $5,100 this cycle

3.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$5,100

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,703

If assigned

-$307,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.18/share ($5,884 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $37.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	37d	+$0.22	$0.16 to $0.20	68%	52%
Up And Out	$37.61	37d	+$0.17	$0.10 to $0.14	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$38.11	44d	+$0.17	$0.06 to $0.12	71%	58%
Safety Up	$43.11	44d	-$0.98	$-1.40 to $-1.18	92%	92%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-05 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.