IBIT @ $36.31

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $800 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,667

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$426

If assigned

-$309,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($2,926 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $38.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	16d	+$0.37	$0.34 to $0.45	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.69	16d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.09	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$41.69	44d	+$0.08	$-0.07 to $0.14	83%	79%
Safety Up	$42.69	44d	-$0.11	$-0.29 to $-0.05	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$40.69	37d	+$0.12	$-0.02 to $0.18	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $800 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,667

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$426

If assigned

-$309,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($2,926 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $38.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	16d	+$0.37	$0.34 to $0.45	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.69	16d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.09	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$41.69	44d	+$0.08	$-0.07 to $0.14	83%	79%
Safety Up	$42.69	44d	-$0.11	$-0.29 to $-0.05	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$40.69	37d	+$0.12	$-0.02 to $0.18	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $312,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.42 · $2,050 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$6,833

Annualized

46%

EV / cycle

+$712

If assigned

-$312,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($2,727 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $37.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	16d	+$0.35	$0.30 to $0.35	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.69	16d	+$0.03	$-0.07 to $-0.00	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$40.69	44d	+$0.02	$-0.19 to $-0.04	84%	81%
Safety Up	$42.69	44d	-$0.26	$-0.53 to $-0.34	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$38.69	37d	+$0.37	$0.22 to $0.33	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.42 · $2,050 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,050

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$995

If assigned

-$300,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.32/share ($6,609 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $39.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	37d	+$0.26	$0.23 to $0.34	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.69	37d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.23	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.19	44d	+$0.20	$0.12 to $0.28	71%	58%
Safety Up	$41.19	44d	-$0.21	$-0.33 to $-0.15	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $300,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.42 · $2,050 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,050

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$995

If assigned

-$300,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.32/share ($6,609 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $39.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$39.50	37d	+$0.26	$0.23 to $0.34	68%	52%
Up And Out	$39.69	37d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.23	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.19	44d	+$0.20	$0.12 to $0.28	71%	58%
Safety Up	$41.19	44d	-$0.21	$-0.33 to $-0.15	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.96 / mid $0.97 · $4,800 this cycle

3.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$4,800

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,574

If assigned

-$307,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.17/share ($5,827 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $37.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	37d	+$0.23	$0.18 to $0.22	68%	52%
Up And Out	$37.69	37d	+$0.14	$0.07 to $0.12	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$38.19	44d	+$0.14	$0.03 to $0.10	71%	59%
Safety Up	$42.19	44d	-$0.89	$-1.26 to $-1.06	90%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-05 21:44 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.