IBIT @ $36.76

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $750 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,812

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$463

If assigned

-$306,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($2,895 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	15d	+$0.38	$0.35 to $0.45	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.24	15d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $0.07	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$41.74	36d	+$0.02	$-0.11 to $0.07	83%	79%
Safety Up	$42.74	43d	-$0.01	$-0.16 to $0.03	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$40.74	43d	+$0.46	$0.37 to $0.53	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $306,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $750 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,812

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$463

If assigned

-$306,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($2,895 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	15d	+$0.38	$0.35 to $0.45	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.24	15d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $0.07	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$41.74	36d	+$0.02	$-0.11 to $0.07	83%	79%
Safety Up	$42.74	43d	-$0.01	$-0.16 to $0.03	85%	82%
Reliable Up	$40.74	43d	+$0.46	$0.37 to $0.53	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $310,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.41 · $2,000 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$7,500

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$840

If assigned

-$310,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($2,700 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.50	15d	+$0.35	$0.30 to $0.37	68%	51%
Up And Out	$38.24	15d	+$0.02	$-0.10 to $-0.01	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$40.74	43d	+$0.13	$-0.08 to $0.08	82%	78%
Safety Up	$43.74	43d	-$0.29	$-0.60 to $-0.37	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$39.74	43d	+$0.39	$0.23 to $0.36	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds21%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.54 · $2,650 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

79%

Income / mo

$2,208

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,316

If assigned

-$297,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.48/share ($7,407 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	43d	+$0.26	$0.22 to $0.32	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.24	43d	+$0.13	$0.08 to $0.18	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.24	43d	+$0.13	$0.08 to $0.18	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.24	43d	-$0.32	$-0.41 to $-0.30	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $295,350 (premium included).

Annualized yield 11.9% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.45 · $2,150 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,792

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,127

If assigned

-$295,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.53/share ($7,633 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $40.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.50	43d	+$0.27	$0.23 to $0.34	68%	52%
Up And Out	$40.74	43d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.20	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$40.74	43d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.20	69%	54%
Safety Up	$41.74	43d	-$0.31	$-0.40 to $-0.28	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $304,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.10 / mid $1.11 · $5,500 this cycle

3.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$4,583

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$1,802

If assigned

-$304,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.31/share ($6,535 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $38.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	43d	+$0.23	$0.18 to $0.22	68%	52%
Up And Out	$38.24	43d	+$0.10	$0.04 to $0.07	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$38.24	43d	+$0.10	$0.04 to $0.07	69%	55%
Safety Up	$42.24	43d	-$1.04	$-1.38 to $-1.20	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-06 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.