IBIT @ $36.36

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.6%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $700 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,625

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$375

If assigned

-$309,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($2,754 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	15d	+$0.37	$0.34 to $0.44	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.64	15d	+$0.07	$0.01 to $0.12	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$41.64	43d	+$0.10	$-0.04 to $0.16	83%	79%
Safety Up	$42.64	43d	-$0.07	$-0.23 to $-0.02	87%	84%
Reliable Up	$40.64	43d	+$0.35	$0.25 to $0.43	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $700 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,625

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$375

If assigned

-$309,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($2,754 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	15d	+$0.37	$0.34 to $0.44	67%	51%
Up And Out	$38.64	15d	+$0.07	$0.01 to $0.12	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$41.64	43d	+$0.10	$-0.04 to $0.16	83%	79%
Safety Up	$42.64	43d	-$0.07	$-0.23 to $-0.02	87%	84%
Reliable Up	$40.64	43d	+$0.35	$0.25 to $0.43	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $313,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.41 · $2,000 this cycle

1.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$7,500

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$737

If assigned

-$313,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($2,566 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	15d	+$0.34	$0.29 to $0.34	67%	51%
Up And Out	$37.64	15d	+$0.05	$-0.04 to $0.03	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$40.64	43d	+$0.05	$-0.15 to $-0.01	84%	81%
Safety Up	$42.64	43d	-$0.22	$-0.47 to $-0.29	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$39.64	43d	+$0.29	$0.12 to $0.25	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.46 · $2,250 this cycle

10.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,875

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,135

If assigned

-$297,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.52/share ($7,580 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $40.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	43d	+$0.26	$0.23 to $0.34	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.64	43d	+$0.45	$0.42 to $0.55	67%	49%
Safety Up	$40.64	43d	-$0.06	$-0.12 to $-0.01	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.46 · $2,250 this cycle

10.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$1,875

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,135

If assigned

-$297,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.52/share ($7,580 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $40.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	43d	+$0.26	$0.23 to $0.34	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.64	43d	+$0.45	$0.42 to $0.55	67%	49%
Safety Up	$40.64	43d	-$0.06	$-0.12 to $-0.01	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $305,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.95 / mid $0.96 · $4,750 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$3,958

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$1,691

If assigned

-$305,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.34/share ($6,700 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $38.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	43d	+$0.23	$0.18 to $0.23	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$37.64	43d	+$0.42	$0.37 to $0.43	66%	48%
Safety Up	$40.64	43d	-$0.76	$-0.99 to $-0.86	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-06 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.