IBIT @ $36.44

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-63.6%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $309,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $750 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$3,214

Annualized

21%

EV / cycle

+$467

If assigned

-$309,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($2,618 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $38.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	14d	+$0.37	$0.34 to $0.43	68%	51%
Up And Out	$38.56	14d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.15	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$41.56	42d	+$0.11	$-0.03 to $0.16	83%	80%
Safety Up	$42.56	42d	-$0.07	$-0.25 to $-0.04	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$40.56	35d	+$0.18	$0.05 to $0.23	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $307,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $450 this cycle

5.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,929

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$320

If assigned

-$307,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($2,710 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $38.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.50	14d	+$0.38	$0.37 to $0.50	68%	51%
Up And Out	$39.06	14d	+$0.12	$0.07 to $0.21	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$42.06	42d	+$0.14	$0.05 to $0.25	83%	79%
Safety Up	$43.06	42d	-$0.05	$-0.18 to $0.05	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$41.06	35d	+$0.21	$0.12 to $0.32	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $37 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $313,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $37 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.41 · $2,000 this cycle

1.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$8,571

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$771

If assigned

-$313,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($2,437 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $37.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$37.00	14d	+$0.34	$0.28 to $0.35	68%	51%
Up And Out	$37.56	14d	+$0.08	$-0.02 to $0.06	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$40.56	42d	+$0.05	$-0.16 to $0.00	84%	81%
Safety Up	$42.56	42d	-$0.22	$-0.51 to $-0.30	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$39.06	35d	+$0.25	$0.08 to $0.21	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.43 · $2,100 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,112

If assigned

-$297,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.46/share ($7,286 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	42d	+$0.27	$0.24 to $0.33	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.56	42d	+$0.50	$0.48 to $0.58	66%	48%
Safety Up	$40.56	42d	-$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.03	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $40 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $297,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $40 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.42 / mid $0.43 · $2,100 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$1,800

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,112

If assigned

-$297,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.46/share ($7,286 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $40.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$40.00	42d	+$0.27	$0.24 to $0.33	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$39.56	42d	+$0.50	$0.48 to $0.58	66%	48%
Safety Up	$40.56	42d	-$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.03	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $38 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $305,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $38 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.93 / mid $0.94 · $4,650 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$3,986

Annualized

27%

EV / cycle

+$1,702

If assigned

-$305,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.29/share ($6,430 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $38.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$38.00	42d	+$0.24	$0.19 to $0.23	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$37.56	42d	+$0.47	$0.43 to $0.47	66%	47%
Safety Up	$40.56	42d	-$0.74	$-0.95 to $-0.83	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-07 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.