IBIT @ $46.02

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-54.0%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $258,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

9 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.30 · $1,500 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$9,000

Annualized

48%

EV / cycle

+$876

If assigned

-$258,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($3,582 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $48.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	7d	+$0.25	$0.22 to $0.29	68%	51%
Up And Out	$48.48	7d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.05	72%	60%
Ss Escape	$54.98	42d	+$0.12	$-0.14 to $0.17	86%	83%
Safety Up	$57.98	42d	-$0.20	$-0.53 to $-0.17	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$52.98	35d	+$0.27	$0.06 to $0.32	84%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $244,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

14 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $850 this cycle

10.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$2,550

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$726

If assigned

-$244,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.12/share ($5,597 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $51.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	12d	+$0.21	$0.21 to $0.31	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$56.98	42d	+$0.11	$0.00 to $0.40	83%	79%
Safety Up	$56.98	35d	-$0.08	$-0.18 to $0.18	86%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $262,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

9 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.54 · $2,650 this cycle

2.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$15,900

Annualized

84%

EV / cycle

+$1,143

If assigned

-$262,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,411 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $47.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	7d	+$0.24	$0.19 to $0.25	68%	51%
Up And Out	$47.48	7d	+$0.04	$-0.07 to $0.02	73%	60%
Ss Escape	$53.98	42d	+$0.06	$-0.29 to $-0.00	87%	84%
Safety Up	$53.98	35d	-$0.08	$-0.42 to $-0.15	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$50.98	35d	+$0.40	$0.12 to $0.35	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $236,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.70 / mid $0.71 · $3,500 this cycle

13.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$2,250

If assigned

-$236,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.25/share ($11,250 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $52.61.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.00	42d	+$0.39	$0.35 to $0.55	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$51.98	42d	+$0.40	$0.36 to $0.57	68%	52%
Safety Up	$53.98	42d	-$0.42	$-0.53 to $-0.35	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $232,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.59 · $2,900 this cycle

15.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$2,486

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$2,067

If assigned

-$232,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.35/share ($11,736 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $53.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	42d	+$0.41	$0.38 to $0.60	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$52.98	42d	+$0.42	$0.39 to $0.61	68%	52%
Safety Up	$54.98	42d	-$0.41	$-0.51 to $-0.31	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $251,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.61 / mid $1.62 · $8,050 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$6,900

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$2,732

If assigned

-$251,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.88/share ($9,409 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $48.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	42d	+$0.33	$0.25 to $0.30	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$47.98	42d	+$0.34	$0.26 to $0.31	68%	52%
Safety Up	$54.98	42d	-$1.47	$-1.95 to $-1.70	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-04 03:17 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.