IBIT @ $44.72

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-55.3%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $266,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

9 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.23 · $1,150 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$6,900

Annualized

38%

EV / cycle

+$659

If assigned

-$266,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($3,086 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $46.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.50	7d	+$0.27	$0.26 to $0.30	69%	51%
Up And Out	$46.78	7d	+$0.13	$0.08 to $0.14	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$53.78	42d	+$0.06	$-0.18 to $0.09	88%	86%
Safety Up	$55.78	42d	-$0.14	$-0.42 to $-0.13	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$51.78	42d	+$0.37	$0.19 to $0.42	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $256,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $550 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$2,357

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$367

If assigned

-$256,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($4,299 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $49.00.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	10d	+$0.25	$0.27 to $0.41	68%	51%
Up And Out	$48.78	10d	+$0.12	$0.09 to $0.25	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$54.78	42d	+$0.13	$0.00 to $0.35	85%	82%
Safety Up	$55.78	42d	-$0.02	$-0.18 to $0.19	87%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $270,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

9 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.49 · $2,400 this cycle

1.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$14,400

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$996

If assigned

-$270,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($2,926 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $45.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.50	7d	+$0.25	$0.23 to $0.26	69%	51%
Up And Out	$45.78	7d	+$0.12	$0.06 to $0.10	72%	57%
Ss Escape	$52.78	42d	+$0.01	$-0.33 to $-0.07	88%	87%
Safety Up	$53.78	42d	-$0.10	$-0.46 to $-0.18	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$50.78	42d	+$0.30	$0.02 to $0.24	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $246,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.71 / mid $0.72 · $3,550 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,043

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$1,888

If assigned

-$246,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.14/share ($10,691 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $50.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	42d	+$0.38	$0.34 to $0.50	69%	52%
Up And Out	$50.28	42d	+$0.24	$0.18 to $0.34	70%	54%
Ss Escape	$50.28	42d	+$0.24	$0.18 to $0.34	70%	54%
Safety Up	$52.28	42d	-$0.57	$-0.71 to $-0.52	76%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $242,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.58 · $2,850 this cycle

14.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,443

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,636

If assigned

-$242,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.24/share ($11,181 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $51.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	42d	+$0.40	$0.37 to $0.55	69%	52%
Up And Out	$51.28	42d	+$0.26	$0.22 to $0.40	70%	54%
Ss Escape	$51.28	42d	+$0.26	$0.22 to $0.40	70%	54%
Safety Up	$53.28	42d	-$0.56	$-0.67 to $-0.48	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $259,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.58 / mid $1.59 · $7,900 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$6,771

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$2,869

If assigned

-$259,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.81/share ($9,059 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $47.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.50	42d	+$0.32	$0.24 to $0.30	69%	52%
Up And Out	$46.78	42d	+$0.19	$0.10 to $0.15	70%	54%
Ss Escape	$46.78	42d	+$0.19	$0.10 to $0.15	70%	54%
Safety Up	$53.78	42d	-$1.50	$-2.05 to $-1.75	92%	91%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-04 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.