IBIT @ $45.15

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-54.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $263,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.28 · $1,350 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,750

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$760

If assigned

-$263,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,379 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $47.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	9d	+$0.24	$0.20 to $0.32	67%	51%
Up And Out	$47.35	9d	+$0.07	$0.00 to $0.12	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$53.85	41d	+$0.02	$-0.25 to $0.09	87%	85%
Safety Up	$55.85	41d	-$0.19	$-0.50 to $-0.13	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$51.85	41d	+$0.36	$0.15 to $0.44	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $256,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.11 · $550 this cycle

7.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$2,750

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$412

If assigned

-$256,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($3,649 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $49.01.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	9d	+$0.26	$0.27 to $0.38	67%	51%
Up And Out	$48.85	9d	+$0.09	$0.07 to $0.20	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$55.35	41d	+$0.11	$-0.02 to $0.29	86%	83%
Safety Up	$56.35	41d	-$0.01	$-0.16 to $0.16	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $267,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.53 · $2,600 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$13,000

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$1,054

If assigned

-$267,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($3,205 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $46.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.00	9d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.23	67%	51%
Up And Out	$46.35	9d	+$0.06	$-0.02 to $0.05	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$51.85	41d	+$0.12	$-0.17 to $0.05	85%	83%
Safety Up	$54.85	41d	-$0.22	$-0.59 to $-0.31	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$50.85	41d	+$0.29	$0.03 to $0.23	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $244,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.67 / mid $0.68 · $3,350 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,956

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$1,751

If assigned

-$244,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.06/share ($10,324 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $51.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.50	41d	+$0.39	$0.35 to $0.49	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$50.35	41d	+$0.46	$0.42 to $0.57	68%	51%
Safety Up	$52.35	41d	-$0.39	$-0.49 to $-0.34	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $236,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.61 / mid $0.62 · $3,050 this cycle

15.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,232

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,680

If assigned

-$236,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.49 / mid $1.50 · $7,450 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$6,574

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$2,514

If assigned

-$257,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.75/share ($8,772 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $47.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	41d	+$0.33	$0.26 to $0.31	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$46.85	41d	+$0.41	$0.34 to $0.39	67%	51%
Safety Up	$53.85	41d	-$1.41	$-1.89 to $-1.64	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-05 03:17 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.