IBIT @ $44.35

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-55.6%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $266,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

14 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.26 · $1,250 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$7,500

Annualized

41%

EV / cycle

+$771

If assigned

-$266,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($3,639 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $47.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.50	7d	+$0.24	$0.20 to $0.27	69%	51%
Ss Escape	$53.15	44d	+$0.13	$-0.13 to $0.18	85%	83%
Safety Up	$56.15	44d	-$0.21	$-0.53 to $-0.17	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$52.15	44d	+$0.29	$0.06 to $0.35	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

14 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.08 · $400 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$2,400

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$324

If assigned

-$257,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($4,006 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $48.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	7d	+$0.26	$0.25 to $0.35	69%	51%
Ss Escape	$56.15	44d	+$0.12	$0.02 to $0.40	86%	84%
Safety Up	$57.15	44d	-$0.01	$-0.12 to $0.27	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $45 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $271,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $45 CALL

14 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.61 / mid $0.62 · $3,050 this cycle

1.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$18,300

Annualized

100%

EV / cycle

+$1,175

If assigned

-$271,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,376 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $45.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.00	7d	+$0.22	$0.16 to $0.21	69%	51%
Ss Escape	$51.65	44d	+$0.04	$-0.37 to $-0.07	87%	84%
Safety Up	$53.65	44d	-$0.18	$-0.66 to $-0.31	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$49.65	44d	+$0.39	$0.06 to $0.31	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $249,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.62 / mid $0.64 · $3,100 this cycle

11.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,100

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$1,636

If assigned

-$249,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.99/share ($9,928 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $50.07.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	37d	+$0.37	$0.32 to $0.49	68%	52%
Up And Out	$50.15	37d	+$0.07	$-0.01 to $0.16	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$51.15	44d	+$0.01	$-0.11 to $0.14	73%	62%
Safety Up	$52.65	44d	-$0.49	$-0.67 to $-0.38	77%	70%
Reliable Up	$50.65	44d	+$0.22	$0.11 to $0.36	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $245,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.50 · $2,450 this cycle

13.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,450

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,412

If assigned

-$245,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.08/share ($10,378 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $51.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.50	37d	+$0.39	$0.35 to $0.55	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.15	37d	+$0.08	$0.02 to $0.23	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$52.15	44d	+$0.04	$-0.06 to $0.26	73%	62%
Safety Up	$53.65	44d	-$0.46	$-0.63 to $-0.29	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $262,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.46 / mid $1.48 · $7,300 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$7,300

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

+$2,442

If assigned

-$262,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($8,432 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $46.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.00	37d	+$0.31	$0.22 to $0.28	68%	52%
Up And Out	$46.65	37d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $-0.04	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$47.15	44d	+$0.11	$-0.06 to $0.03	72%	61%
Safety Up	$53.65	44d	-$1.30	$-1.83 to $-1.56	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$46.65	44d	+$0.32	$0.16 to $0.26	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-09 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.