IBIT @ $44.88

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-55.1%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $263,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

14 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.24 · $1,200 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$7,200

Annualized

39%

EV / cycle

+$740

If assigned

-$263,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($3,492 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $47.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	7d	+$0.25	$0.23 to $0.30	68%	51%
Up And Out	$47.12	7d	+$0.19	$0.15 to $0.22	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$54.12	44d	+$0.10	$-0.15 to $0.16	86%	84%
Safety Up	$55.12	37d	-$0.15	$-0.41 to $-0.10	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$52.12	37d	+$0.25	$0.07 to $0.33	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

14 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $450 this cycle

8.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$387

If assigned

-$257,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,745 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.04.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	7d	+$0.27	$0.26 to $0.34	68%	51%
Up And Out	$48.62	7d	+$0.21	$0.19 to $0.27	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$56.62	44d	+$0.05	$-0.08 to $0.21	87%	85%
Safety Up	$56.62	37d	-$0.06	$-0.18 to $0.09	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$55.62	37d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.22	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $266,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

16 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.65 · $3,150 this cycle

2.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$13,500

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$1,124

If assigned

-$266,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($4,190 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $46.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.00	9d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.18	66%	51%
Up And Out	$46.12	9d	+$0.12	$0.05 to $0.10	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$51.62	44d	+$0.07	$-0.27 to $-0.01	84%	81%
Safety Up	$55.12	44d	-$0.37	$-0.83 to $-0.49	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$50.62	44d	+$0.26	$-0.05 to $0.20	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $245,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.81 / mid $0.82 · $4,050 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,284

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$2,233

If assigned

-$245,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.19/share ($10,926 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $50.61.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	44d	+$0.35	$0.30 to $0.43	68%	52%
Up And Out	$50.62	44d	+$0.07	$-0.00 to $0.13	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$50.62	44d	+$0.07	$-0.00 to $0.13	70%	56%
Safety Up	$52.62	44d	-$0.69	$-0.84 to $-0.67	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $242,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.51 · $2,500 this cycle

13.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$2,500

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,396

If assigned

-$242,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.06/share ($10,293 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $51.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	37d	+$0.40	$0.37 to $0.56	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.12	37d	+$0.34	$0.30 to $0.49	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$52.62	44d	+$0.08	$-0.01 to $0.26	73%	62%
Safety Up	$54.12	44d	-$0.44	$-0.59 to $-0.28	77%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $258,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.32 / mid $1.33 · $6,600 this cycle

4.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$6,600

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$2,303

If assigned

-$258,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.72/share ($8,588 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $47.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	37d	+$0.33	$0.25 to $0.32	68%	52%
Up And Out	$47.12	37d	+$0.27	$0.18 to $0.25	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$48.12	44d	+$0.15	$-0.01 to $0.09	72%	60%
Safety Up	$53.12	37d	-$1.32	$-1.74 to $-1.50	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-09 21:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.