IBIT @ $44.33

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU6241782
Shares5,000
Avg cost$100.00
Drawdown-55.7%
IV regimeMEDIUM
Writable50
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $263,400 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $47 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.33 · $1,600 this cycle
6.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$6,000
Annualized
33%
EV / cycle
+$934
If assigned
-$263,400
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.92/share ($4,617 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $47.55.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$47.0011d+$0.22$0.19 to $0.3167%51%
Ss Escape$52.6743d+$0.02$-0.19 to $0.1385%81%
Safety Up$54.6743d-$0.26$-0.52 to $-0.1889%88%
Reliable Up$51.6743d+$0.23$0.03 to $0.3682%78%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $254,400 (premium included).
Called-away odds7%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $49 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.12 · $600 this cycle
10.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
93%
Income / mo
$2,250
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$452
If assigned
-$254,400
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.01/share ($5,064 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $49.58.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$49.0011d+$0.24$0.28 to $0.4367%51%
Ss Escape$55.6743d+$0.00$-0.07 to $0.3086%83%
Reliable Up$55.1743d+$0.07$0.01 to $0.3785%81%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $267,550 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $46 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.99 / mid $1.00 · $4,950 this cycle
2.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$9,900
Annualized
54%
EV / cycle
+$1,684
If assigned
-$267,550
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.14/share ($5,692 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $46.04.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$45.5022d+$0.41$0.31 to $0.3968%52%
Up And Out$46.1722d+$0.10$-0.02 to $0.0571%59%
Ss Escape$48.6743d+$0.09$-0.19 to $-0.0279%72%
Safety Up$53.1743d-$0.69$-1.14 to $-0.8991%90%
Reliable Up$47.1743d+$0.58$0.36 to $0.5074%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $246,150 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $50 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.77 / mid $0.78 · $3,850 this cycle
12.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$2,686
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$2,180
If assigned
-$246,150
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $241,850 (premium included).
Called-away odds15%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $51 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.64 · $3,150 this cycle
15.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
85%
Income / mo
$2,198
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$1,996
If assigned
-$241,850
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $259,350 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $46 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $1.63 / mid $1.65 · $8,150 this cycle
4.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$5,686
Annualized
31%
EV / cycle
+$2,893
If assigned
-$259,350
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-10 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.