IBIT @ $43.67

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-56.3%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $271,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

16 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.28 · $1,350 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$8,100

Annualized

45%

EV / cycle

+$796

If assigned

-$271,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,393 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $46.02.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.50	7d	+$0.22	$0.19 to $0.26	69%	51%
Up And Out	$45.83	7d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.07	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$51.33	42d	+$0.05	$-0.19 to $0.09	85%	83%
Safety Up	$53.83	42d	-$0.25	$-0.56 to $-0.23	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$49.83	35d	+$0.15	$-0.07 to $0.19	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $264,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

16 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

7.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$384

If assigned

-$264,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($3,654 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $47.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	7d	+$0.24	$0.25 to $0.32	69%	51%
Up And Out	$47.33	7d	+$0.07	$0.03 to $0.13	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$53.33	42d	+$0.06	$-0.06 to $0.27	86%	83%
Safety Up	$54.33	42d	-$0.09	$-0.23 to $0.12	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $44 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $274,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $44 CALL

16 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.53 · $2,600 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$15,600

Annualized

87%

EV / cycle

+$1,086

If assigned

-$274,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($3,224 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $45.02.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$44.50	7d	+$0.21	$0.17 to $0.22	69%	51%
Up And Out	$44.83	7d	+$0.04	$-0.05 to $0.02	72%	58%
Ss Escape	$49.83	42d	+$0.08	$-0.25 to $0.00	85%	82%
Safety Up	$52.83	42d	-$0.28	$-0.70 to $-0.38	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$47.83	35d	+$0.32	$0.05 to $0.26	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $251,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.70 / mid $0.71 · $3,500 this cycle

12.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,500

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,796

If assigned

-$251,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $252,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.56 / mid $0.56 · $2,800 this cycle

12.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,400

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,513

If assigned

-$252,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.03/share ($10,151 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $49.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.00	42d	+$0.34	$0.30 to $0.46	68%	52%
Up And Out	$49.33	42d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.28	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$49.33	42d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.28	69%	55%
Safety Up	$50.83	42d	-$0.45	$-0.56 to $-0.40	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $264,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $1.60 / mid $1.61 · $8,000 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$5,714

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,654

If assigned

-$264,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-11 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.