IBIT @ $44.99

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-55.0%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $263,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

16 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.33 · $1,550 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$9,300

Annualized

50%

EV / cycle

+$846

If assigned

-$263,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($3,994 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $47.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	7d	+$0.20	$0.14 to $0.23	68%	51%
Ss Escape	$53.01	42d	+$0.10	$-0.18 to $0.15	84%	81%
Safety Up	$56.01	42d	-$0.30	$-0.67 to $-0.28	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$52.51	42d	+$0.19	$-0.08 to $0.24	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $252,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

16 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $450 this cycle

10.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$350

If assigned

-$252,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.89/share ($4,475 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $50.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	7d	+$0.23	$0.21 to $0.33	68%	51%
Ss Escape	$56.51	42d	+$0.09	$-0.02 to $0.34	85%	82%
Safety Up	$57.51	42d	-$0.07	$-0.21 to $0.18	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$55.51	35d	+$0.07	$-0.04 to $0.31	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $267,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

16 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.56 / mid $0.58 · $2,800 this cycle

2.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$16,800

Annualized

91%

EV / cycle

+$1,182

If assigned

-$267,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($3,809 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $46.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.00	7d	+$0.19	$0.10 to $0.18	68%	51%
Ss Escape	$52.01	42d	+$0.04	$-0.35 to $-0.04	85%	82%
Safety Up	$55.01	42d	-$0.33	$-0.82 to $-0.44	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$50.51	42d	+$0.34	$0.01 to $0.28	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $241,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.77 / mid $0.79 · $3,850 this cycle

13.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,750

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,989

If assigned

-$241,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $241,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.65 · $3,150 this cycle

13.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,727

If assigned

-$241,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.28/share ($11,423 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $51.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	42d	+$0.35	$0.30 to $0.49	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.51	42d	+$0.10	$0.03 to $0.22	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$51.51	42d	+$0.10	$0.03 to $0.22	70%	56%
Safety Up	$53.01	42d	-$0.50	$-0.62 to $-0.43	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.56 / mid $1.58 · $7,800 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,686

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$2,815

If assigned

-$257,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.91/share ($9,533 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $47.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	42d	+$0.29	$0.19 to $0.26	68%	52%
Up And Out	$47.51	42d	+$0.04	$-0.07 to $-0.01	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$47.51	42d	+$0.04	$-0.07 to $-0.01	70%	56%
Safety Up	$54.01	42d	-$1.55	$-2.10 to $-1.81	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-11 22:04 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.