IBIT @ $43.76

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-56.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $269,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $950 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$4,750

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$611

If assigned

-$269,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($3,577 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $46.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.00	9d	+$0.21	$0.18 to $0.32	68%	51%
Up And Out	$46.24	9d	+$0.09	$0.04 to $0.18	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$51.74	41d	+$0.00	$-0.20 to $0.14	86%	83%
Safety Up	$53.24	41d	-$0.19	$-0.43 to $-0.07	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$50.24	41d	+$0.28	$0.10 to $0.43	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $264,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

7.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$2,500

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$380

If assigned

-$264,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,765 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $47.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	9d	+$0.22	$0.22 to $0.35	68%	51%
Up And Out	$47.24	9d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.21	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$52.74	41d	+$0.06	$-0.11 to $0.26	85%	82%
Safety Up	$53.74	41d	-$0.08	$-0.28 to $0.11	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $44 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $274,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $44 CALL

21 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.67 / mid $0.69 · $3,350 this cycle

1.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$11,167

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$1,219

If assigned

-$274,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($3,826 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $44.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$44.50	11d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.12	68%	51%
Up And Out	$44.74	11d	+$0.02	$-0.05 to $-0.01	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$48.74	41d	+$0.04	$-0.27 to $-0.08	83%	79%
Safety Up	$51.74	41d	-$0.37	$-0.78 to $-0.53	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$46.74	41d	+$0.56	$0.34 to $0.48	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $251,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.66 / mid $0.68 · $3,300 this cycle

12.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,415

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,703

If assigned

-$251,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $252,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.51 / mid $0.52 · $2,550 this cycle

12.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,373

If assigned

-$252,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.94/share ($9,684 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $49.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.00	41d	+$0.34	$0.31 to $0.47	68%	52%
Up And Out	$49.24	41d	+$0.22	$0.18 to $0.35	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$49.24	41d	+$0.22	$0.18 to $0.35	69%	54%
Safety Up	$50.74	41d	-$0.41	$-0.52 to $-0.35	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $264,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $1.54 / mid $1.56 · $7,700 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$5,634

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$2,554

If assigned

-$264,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-12 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.