IBIT @ $44.80

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-55.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $263,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

21 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.32 · $1,550 this cycle

4.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,750

Annualized

42%

EV / cycle

+$885

If assigned

-$263,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($4,001 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $47.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	8d	+$0.19	$0.16 to $0.27	68%	51%
Up And Out	$47.20	8d	+$0.10	$0.04 to $0.14	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$53.20	45d	+$0.08	$-0.19 to $0.18	85%	82%
Safety Up	$56.20	45d	-$0.28	$-0.63 to $-0.20	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$51.70	38d	+$0.17	$-0.08 to $0.27	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $252,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds2%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

21 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $450 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

98%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$431

If assigned

-$252,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.90/share ($4,493 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $50.04.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	8d	+$0.22	$0.24 to $0.33	68%	51%
Up And Out	$49.70	8d	+$0.12	$0.12 to $0.22	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$56.70	45d	+$0.09	$0.04 to $0.34	85%	82%
Safety Up	$57.70	45d	-$0.04	$-0.11 to $0.21	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$54.70	31d	-$0.00	$-0.06 to $0.23	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $267,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

21 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.54 · $2,650 this cycle

2.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$13,250

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$1,147

If assigned

-$267,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($3,812 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $46.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.00	8d	+$0.18	$0.13 to $0.21	68%	51%
Up And Out	$46.20	8d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.08	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$52.20	45d	+$0.02	$-0.31 to $-0.02	86%	83%
Safety Up	$55.20	45d	-$0.31	$-0.72 to $-0.38	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$50.20	45d	+$0.41	$0.15 to $0.40	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $246,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.75 / mid $0.76 · $3,750 this cycle

11.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,961

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$1,894

If assigned

-$246,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.18/share ($10,891 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $50.62.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	45d	+$0.33	$0.28 to $0.43	68%	52%
Up And Out	$50.70	45d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.08	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$50.70	45d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.08	70%	57%
Safety Up	$52.70	45d	-$0.73	$-0.90 to $-0.73	76%	69%
Reliable Up	$50.20	45d	+$0.24	$0.18 to $0.33	69%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $242,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.46 / mid $0.47 · $2,300 this cycle

13.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$2,226

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,321

If assigned

-$242,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.05/share ($10,244 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $51.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	38d	+$0.39	$0.36 to $0.58	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.70	38d	+$0.06	$0.01 to $0.21	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$52.70	45d	+$0.01	$-0.08 to $0.23	73%	62%
Safety Up	$53.70	45d	-$0.33	$-0.45 to $-0.14	76%	68%
Reliable Up	$52.20	45d	+$0.22	$0.14 to $0.45	71%	60%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $258,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.27 / mid $1.27 · $6,350 this cycle

4.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$6,145

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$2,307

If assigned

-$258,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.70/share ($8,521 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $47.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	38d	+$0.32	$0.24 to $0.31	68%	52%
Up And Out	$47.20	38d	+$0.22	$0.13 to $0.20	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$48.20	45d	+$0.09	$-0.06 to $0.04	72%	61%
Safety Up	$54.20	45d	-$1.27	$-1.77 to $-1.47	90%	88%
Reliable Up	$47.70	45d	+$0.29	$0.15 to $0.26	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-15 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.